Exam 11: Managing Demand and Forecasting

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In relation to forecasting, there are no natural laws that make the relationship between demand and other variables continue to behave as they have done in the past.

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Table 11.3. Week Patient Arrivals 1 401 2 380 3 411 4 384 -Use the information in Table 11.3. Compute a three- week moving average forecast for the arrival of medical clinic patients in week 5.

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Table 11.9. Quarter Forecasted Demand (Units) Actual Demand (Units) 1 85 95 2 55 55 3 70 45 4 60 75 -Use the information in Table 11.9. What is the standard deviation of forecast errors for the data?

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What is the difference between mean absolute deviation (MAD) and mean squared error (MSE)?

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Consider the following data concerning the performance of a forecasting method. Month Actual Demand Forecast 1 300 270 2 200 280 3 270 260 4 250 270 5 310 250

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Why are forecasts for product families typically more accurate than forecasts for the individual items within a product family?

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Discuss two guidelines that help when searching for the best time series models.

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Table 11.7 Month Units Sold (00) 1 150 2 145 3 160 4 180 5 220 -Use the information in Table 11.7. The cumulative sum of errors CFE from months 2 through 5 is

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Aggregation is the act of clustering several similar products or services.

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