Exam 11: Risk and Return in Capital Markets

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Consider an economy with two types of firms, S and I. S firms always move together, but I firms move independently of each other. For both types of firms there is a 40% probability that the firm will have a 20% return and a 60% probability that the firm will have a -30% return. The standard deviation for the return on an individual firm is closest to ________.

(Multiple Choice)
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Consider the following realized annual returns: Consider the following realized annual returns:   The average annual return on the S&P 500 from 1996 to 2005 is closest to ________. The average annual return on the S&P 500 from 1996 to 2005 is closest to ________.

(Multiple Choice)
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When looking at investment portfolios historically, was there a pattern between returns and volatility?

(Essay)
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Amazon.com stock prices gave a realized return of 15%, 15%, 15%, and 10% over four successive quarters. What is the annual realized return for Amazon.com for the year?

(Multiple Choice)
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You purchase a 30-year, zero-coupon bond for a price of $25. The bond will pay back $100 after 30 years and make no interim payments. The annual compounded return (geometric average return) on this investment is ________.

(Multiple Choice)
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Which of the following statements is TRUE?

(Multiple Choice)
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Big Cure and Little Cure are both pharmaceutical companies. Big Cure presently has a potential "blockbuster" drug before the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) waiting for approval. If approved, Big Cure's blockbuster drug will produce $1 billion in net income for Big Cure. Little Cure has ten separate, less important drugs before the FDA waiting for approval. If approved, each of Little Cure's drugs would produce $50 million in net income. The probability of the FDA approving a drug is 50%. What is the expected payoff for Little Cure's ten drugs?

(Multiple Choice)
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The average annual return for the S&P 500 from 1886 to 2006 is 15%, with a standard deviation of 25%. Based on these numbers, what is a 95% confidence interval for 2007's returns?

(Multiple Choice)
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The S&P 500 index delivered a return of 25%, 15%, -35%, and -5% over four successive years. What is the arithmetic average annual return for four years?

(Multiple Choice)
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The average annual return over the period 1926-2009 for the S&P 500 is 12.8%, and the standard deviation of returns is 21.4%. Based on these numbers, what is a 67% confidence interval for 2010 returns?

(Multiple Choice)
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Fluctuations of a stock's return that are due to market-wide news representing common risk is the ________.

(Multiple Choice)
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A portfolio of stocks can achieve diversification benefits if the stocks that comprise the portfolio are ________.

(Multiple Choice)
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Your investment over one year yielded a capital gains yield of 5% and no dividend yield. If the sale price was $114 per share, what was the cost of the investment?

(Multiple Choice)
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Which type of investment has historically had the highest volatility?

(Essay)
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Bear Stearns' stock price closed at $98, $103, $58, $29, $4 over five successive weeks. The weekly standard deviation of the stock price calculated from this sample is ________.

(Multiple Choice)
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Suppose you invested $100 in the Ishares High Yield Fund (HYG) a month ago. It paid a dividend of $2 today and then you sold it for $95. What was your dividend yield and capital gains yield on the investment?

(Multiple Choice)
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In the United States over the long term, small stocks have provided the highest return followed by the large stocks in the S&P 500.

(True/False)
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Suppose that a stock gave a realized return of 20% over a two-year time period and a 10% return over the third year. The geometric average annual return is ________.

(Multiple Choice)
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Consider an economy with two types of firms, S and I. S firms always move together, but I firms move independently of each other. For both types of firms there is a 70% probability that the firm will have a 20% return and a 30% probability that the firm will have a -30% return. The standard deviation for the return on an portfolio of 20 type S firms is closest to ________.

(Multiple Choice)
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What is the diversification achieved by an investor if he invests in Exxon Mobil, Dell, and Bank of America?

(Essay)
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