Exam 7: Risk Analysis, real Options, and Capital Budgeting

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The investment timing decision relates to:

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A project requires an initial fixed asset investment of $148,000,has annual fixed costs of $39,800,a contribution margin of $14.62,a tax rate of 21 percent,a discount rate of 15 percent,and straight-line depreciation over the project's 3-year life.The assets will be worthless at the end of the project.What is the present value break-even point in units per year?

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A new project has estimated annual sales of 12,000 units,± 3 percent; variable costs per unit of $11.24,± 2 percent; annual fixed costs of $38,290,± 2 percent; and a sales price of $19.65 per unit,± 4 percent.The annual depreciation is $21,400 and the tax rate is 21 percent.What are the annual earnings before interest and taxes under the optimistic scenario?

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Southern Markets is considering a project with total sales of $17,500,total variable costs of $9,800,total fixed costs of $3,500,and estimated production of 400 units.The depreciation expense is $2,400 annually.What is the contribution margin per unit?

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Wilson's Meats has fixed costs of $.60 for every pound of meat it sells given a sales level of 32,500 pounds.It charges $3.89 per pound while the variable cost per pound is $2.99.If depreciation is $16,400,what is the accounting profit break-even point?

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A new 5-year project has expected sales of 3,400 units,± 8 percent; variable costs per unit of $22,± 2%; annual fixed costs of $47,500,± 2 percent; annual depreciation of $33,000; and a sale price of $45 a unit,± 3 percent.The project initially requires $165,000 of fixed assets and $42,000 of net working capital.At the end of the project,the net working capital will be recouped and the fixed assets will produce an aftertax cash inflow of $35,000.The tax rate is 21 percent and the discount rate is 14 percent.What is the net present value of the optimistic scenario?

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An investment has an initial cash outflow of $210,000 for fixed assets that will be depreciated straight-line to zero over 4 years,which is the life of the project.The sales price is set at $19.95 a unit,the annual fixed costs are $237,000,and the variable cost per unit is $8.87.The tax rate is 22 percent and the discount rate is 11 percent.At what sales quantity per year will the investment break even on a financial basis?

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Sensitivity analysis is primarily designed to determine the:

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At a production level of 5,600 units,a project has total costs of $89,000 and a variable cost per unit of $11.20.What is the amount of the total fixed costs?

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The accounting break-even production quantity for a project with a life of one year is 35,173 units.The fixed costs are $318,290 and the contribution margin is $13.27.What is the projected depreciation expense?

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Wilson's Antiques is considering a project with an initial cost today of $10,000.The project has a life of 2 years with cash inflows of $6,500 a year.Should the firm decide to wait one year to commence this project,the initial cost will increase by 5 percent,and the cash inflows will increase to $7,500 a year.What is the value of the option to wait at a discount rate of 10 percent?

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The approach that further attempts to model real world uncertainty by analyzing projects the way one might analyze gambling strategies is called:

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All else equal,the contribution margin must increase as:

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The accounting profit break-even point is unaffected by a firm's:

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The contribution margin:

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Management has decided to accept a new project but has yet to decide when the project should commence.Which type of analysis would be most helpful at this time?

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A project has been assigned a discount rate of 12 percent.If the project starts immediately,it will have an initial cost of $480 and cash inflows of $350 a year for three years.If the start is delayed one year,the initial cost will rise to $520 and the cash flows will increase to $385 a year for three years.What is the value of the option to wait?

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To ascertain whether the inaccuracy of the variable cost estimate for a project will have much effect on the final outcome of the project,you should probably conduct ________ analysis.

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Marguerite is reviewing a project with projected sales of 1,400 units a year,a cash flow of $39 a unit and project life of 3 years.The initial cost of the project is $94,000 and the discount rate is 14 percent.She has the option to abandon the project after one year at which time she feels she could sell the project for $63,000.At what quantity of annual sales should she be willing to abandon the project after the first year?

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Brewster's is considering a project with a life of 5 years and an initial cost of $120,000.The discount rate for the project is 12 percent.The firm expects to sell 2,100 units a year at a net cash flow per unit of $20.The firm will have the option to abandon this project after three years at which time it could sell the project for $50,000.The firm is interested in knowing how the project will perform if the sales forecasts for Years 4 and 5 of the project are revised such that there is a 50 percent chance the sales will be either 1,400 or 2,500 units a year.What is the net present value of this project given these revised sales forecasts?

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