Exam 5: Supply Chain Planning and Analytics

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Why is the issue of outliers important in simple regression?

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An outlier on the independent variable dimension can have a profound impact on the regression line fit to the data,altering both the slope of the line and its y-intercept.In contrast,an outlier on the dependent variable dimension primarily shifts the y-intercept of the regression line in the direction of the outlier but generally has little impact on the slope of the line.

What is the coefficient of determination.

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The proportion of variation in the dependent variable that is explained by the independent variable.

Which of the following is true regarding seasonal indices?

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C

How does the Delphi method work?

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Adaptive forecasting models self-adjust by increasing or decreasing the smoothing constant alpha when the tracking signal becomes too large.

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What is a time series?

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Which of the following is not a time series analysis quantitative forecasting method?

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Briefly describe the two pure aggregate planning strategies.

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What is the cyclical component of a time series?

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Time series analysis involves two inherent difficulties.Discuss these.

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Provide an example of a time series.

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In aggregate planning,level production yields the best utilization of the workforce.

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Many organizations have recently turned their attention to their supply chains as the next frontier for gaining competitive advantage.

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Discuss the two difficulties commonly found with Time series and how to correct it.

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When does it make sense to use a qualitative forecasting method over a quantitative method?

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A time series is simply a set of values of some variable measured either at regular points in time or over sequential intervals of time.

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The trend line is the long-run direction of the data and does not include any seasonal variation.

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In exponential smoothing,larger values of alpha of are used in situations in which the data exhibit high variability.

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Which of the following is not a common pitfall of using regression to forecast?

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Describe how exponential smoothing weights prior periods of demand.

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