Exam 12: Decision Making and Reasoning
All of the following are parts of a categorical syllogism except
B
A friend of yours is a law student interested in thinking of ways that minimize erroneous conclusions.She knows that you are studying this topic for your psychology class and asks you to explain to her some of the most common reasoning errors.What would you tell her?
Sure! There are several common reasoning errors that people often make. One of the most common is confirmation bias, which is the tendency to search for, interpret, favor, and recall information in a way that confirms one's preexisting beliefs or hypotheses. This can lead to ignoring or dismissing information that contradicts those beliefs.
Another common error is the availability heuristic, which is the tendency to overestimate the likelihood of events based on their availability in memory. This means that people may overestimate the likelihood of rare or dramatic events because they are more easily recalled.
There's also the anchoring bias, which is the tendency to rely too heavily on the first piece of information encountered when making decisions. This can lead to an over-reliance on initial information and a failure to adjust for new information.
Other common reasoning errors include the overconfidence effect, where people tend to overestimate their own abilities or knowledge, and the fundamental attribution error, which is the tendency to attribute others' behavior to internal characteristics while attributing our own behavior to external factors.
These are just a few examples of the many reasoning errors that can occur. It's important for anyone, including law students, to be aware of these biases and errors in order to minimize their impact on decision-making and reasoning.
All animals breathe.All humans are animals.Therefore,all humans breathe.The above is an example of a(n)
D
Give a real-world example of the representativeness heuristic not found in the textbook.
Define subjective utility and give an example demonstrating how it can differ from objective measures of utility.
Satisficing makes it more difficult for people to make fully rational decisions because,in satisficing,
How can deciding on a college or graduate school be an example of subjective utility theory?
This theory for solving syllogisms suggests that semantic processes are used to construct an analogous representation which may or may not lead to deductively valid conclusion.
Wilma throws two peaches,two apples,and two pears into a basket and shakes up the basket.Blindfolded,she takes each piece of fruit from the basket and places them all in a line on a table.According to Tom,who is using the heuristic of representativeness,which of the following is the most probable arrangement?
What is subjective probability and how does use of it during decision making differ from the assumptions made in the model of the economic man and woman?
Evidence from more naturalistic studies of decision making reveal that when solving conditional probabilities most people recognize and use the ________ argument,but fail to use the _________ argument.
Cosmides (1989)has proposed that these two kinds of inferences were particularly useful during social interactions in our evolutionary history.
Premise 1: No cats are dogs.Premise 2: Some people are nervous.Rob uses a particular strategy to solve a categorical syllogism.Based on premise 2 (above),his conclusion is negative.Based on premise 2,his conclusion is particular.The strategy Rob is using is the
Create a test that will measure students' knowledge of the difference between confirmation bias and hindsight bias.
Stephanie and Steve are looking at a variety of cars,as they are trying to select a new vehicle.Given that they selected very different vehicles,it appears that their calculations were based on individual versus objective information.Decisions based on each of their own preferences would be called
What is the idea behind the subjective expected utility theory?
Deductive arguments that involve drawing conclusions from two premises are referred to as a(n)
Which of the following statements is not deductively valid?
Which form of reasoning is used in solving verbal analogies?
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