Exam 6: Probability

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The probability of the intersection of two events A and B is denoted by P(A and B) and is called the:

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The union of events A and B is the event that occurs when either A or B occurs but not both.

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If P(A) = 0.4 and P(B) = 0.6, then A and B must be mutually exclusive.

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If P(A) = 0.4 and P(B) = 0.6, then A and B must be collectively exhaustive.

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The union of events A and B is the event that occurs when either A or B or both occur. It is denoted as 'A or B'.

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If A and B are mutually exclusive events, with P(A) = 0.20 and P(B) = 0.30, then the probability that both events will occur simultaneously is:

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If P(A) = 0.35, P(B) = 0.45, and P(A and B) = 0.25, then P(A|B) is:

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NARRBEGIN: GPA and Class GPA and Class A college professor classifies his students according to their grade point average (GPA) and their class rank. GPA is on a 0.0-4.0 scale, and class rank is defined as the under class (freshmen and sophomores) and the upper class (juniors and seniors). One student is selected at random. GPA Class Under 2.0 2.0- 3. 0 Over 3.0 Under 0.05 0.25 0.10 Upper 0.10 0.30 0.20 NARREND -{GPA and Class Narrative} What is the probability that the student is in the lower class?

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NARRBEGIN: GPA and Class GPA and Class A college professor classifies his students according to their grade point average (GPA) and their class rank. GPA is on a 0.0-4.0 scale, and class rank is defined as the under class (freshmen and sophomores) and the upper class (juniors and seniors). One student is selected at random. GPA Class Under 2.0 2.0- 3. 0 Over 3.0 Under 0.05 0.25 0.10 Upper 0.10 0.30 0.20 NARREND -{GPA and Class Narrative} What is the probability that the student has GPA over 3.0?

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The ____________________ rule is used to calculate the joint probability of two events.

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If P(A) = 0.65, P(B) = 0.58, and P(A and B) = 0.76, then P(A or B) is:

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Prior probability of an event is the probability of the event before any information affecting it is given.

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NARRBEGIN: Messenger Service Messenger Service Three messenger services deliver to a small town in Oregon. Service A has 60% of all the scheduled deliveries, service B has 30%, and service C has the remaining 10%. Their on-time rates are 80%, 60%, and 40% respectively. Define event O as a service delivers a package on time.NARREND -{Messenger Service Narrative} If a package was delivered 40 minutes late, what is the probability that it was service B?

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NARRBEGIN: GPA and Class GPA and Class A college professor classifies his students according to their grade point average (GPA) and their class rank. GPA is on a 0.0-4.0 scale, and class rank is defined as the under class (freshmen and sophomores) and the upper class (juniors and seniors). One student is selected at random. GPA Class Under 2.0 2.0- 3. 0 Over 3.0 Under 0.05 0.25 0.10 Upper 0.10 0.30 0.20 NARREND -{GPA and Class Narrative} If the student selected is in the upper class, what is the probability that her GPA is between 2.0 and 3.0?

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NARRBEGIN: Business Majors Business Majors Suppose 30% of business majors major in accounting. You take a random sample of 3 business majors.NARREND -{Business Majors Narrative} What is the chance that they all major in accounting?

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NARRBEGIN: Hobby Shop Sales Hobby Shop Sales Sales records of a hobby shop showed the following number of radio controlled trucks sold weekly for each of the last 50 weeks. Number of Trucks Sold Number of Weeks 0 20 1 15 2 10 3 4 4 1 NARREND -{Hobby Shop Sales Narrative} List the outcomes in the sample space.

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If you roll a balanced die 50 times, you should expect an even number to appear:

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If A and B are independent events with P(A) = 0.35 and P(B) = 0.55, then P(A|B) is 0.35/0.55 = .64.

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NARRBEGIN: Tea and Seltzer Tea and Seltzer Suppose 55 percent of adults drink tea, 45 percent drink seltzer, and 10 percent drink both.NARREND -{Tea and Seltzer Narrative} What is the probability that a randomly chosen adult doesn't drink tea or seltzer?

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Bayes' Law says that P(A|B) = P(B|A)P(A).

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