Exam 6: Probability

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If two events are collectively exhaustive,what is the probability that one or the other occurs?

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College Professorship A Ph.D.graduate has applied for a job with two colleges: A and B.The graduate feels that she has a 60% chance of receiving an offer from college A and a 50% chance of receiving an offer from college B.If she receives an offer from college B,she believes that she has an 80% chance of receiving an offer from college A.Let A = receiving an offer from college A,and let B = receiving an offer from college B. -{College Professorship Narrative} If she receives an offer from college B,what is the probability that she will not receive an offer from college A?

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{Marital Status Narrative} Are gender and marital status mutually exclusive? Explain using probabilities.

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If A and B are independent events with P(A)= 0.60 and P(B)= 0.70,then P(A or B)equals:

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Business Majors Suppose 30% of business majors major in accounting.You take a random sample of 3 business majors. -{Business Majors Narrative} What is the chance that they all major in accounting?

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Drunk Drivers Six hundred accidents that occurred on a Saturday night were analyzed.Two items noted were the number of vehicles involved and whether alcohol played a role in the accident.The numbers are shown below: Number of Vehieles Involved Did aloholplay a role? 1 2 3 Totals Yes 75 125 50 250 Na 50 225 75 350 Totals 125 350 125 600 -{Drunk Drivers Narrative} If multiple vehicles were involved,what proportion of accidents involved alcohol?

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Cars Suppose X = the number of cars owned by a family in the U.S.The probability distribution of X is shown in the table below. X 0 1 2 3 Probability 0.56 0.23 0.12 0.09 -{Car Narrative}What is the chance that a family owns more than one car?

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If P(A)= 0.65,P(B)= 0.58,and P(A and B)= 0.76,then P(A or B)is:

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If P(A)= 0.65,P(B)= 0.58,and P(A and B)= 0.76,then P(A or B)is:

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There are ____________________ requirements of probabilities for the outcomes of a sample space.

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Condo Sales and Interest Rates The probability that condo sales will increase in the next 6 months is estimated to be 0.30.The probability that the interest rates on condo loans will go up in the same period is estimated to be 0.75.The probability that condo sales or interest rates will go up during the next 6 months is estimated to be 0.90. -Prior probability of an event is the probability of the event before any information affecting it is given.

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If A and B are mutually exclusive events with P(A)= 0.75,then P(B):

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Equity Loan Rates A survey of banks estimated the following probabilities for the interest rate being charged on a equity loan based on a 30-year loan,based on past records. Interest Rate 0.0\% 6.5\% 7.0\% 7.5\% >7.5\% Probability 0.20 0.23 0.25 0.28 .04 -The union of events A and B is the event that occurs when either A or B occurs but not both.

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Bayes' Law is used to compute:

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Mutual Fund Price An investor estimates that there is a 75% chance that a particular mutual fund's price will increase to $100 per share over the next three weeks,based on past data. -{Mutual Fund Price Narrative} Which approach was used to produce this figure?

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Drunk Drivers Six hundred accidents that occurred on a Saturday night were analyzed.Two items noted were the number of vehicles involved and whether alcohol played a role in the accident.The numbers are shown below: Number of Vehieles Involved Did aloholplay a role? 1 2 3 Totals Yes 75 125 50 250 Na 50 225 75 350 Totals 125 350 125 600 -{Drunk Drivers Narrative} Given alcohol was involved,what proportion of accidents involved a single vehicle?

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If A and B are independent events with P(A)= 0.60 and P(A|B)= 0.60,then P(B)is:

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College Professorship A Ph.D.graduate has applied for a job with two colleges: A and B.The graduate feels that she has a 60% chance of receiving an offer from college A and a 50% chance of receiving an offer from college B.If she receives an offer from college B,she believes that she has an 80% chance of receiving an offer from college A.Let A = receiving an offer from college A,and let B = receiving an offer from college B. -{College Professorship Narrative} What is the probability that both colleges will make her an offer?

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Bayes' Law involves three different types of probabilities: 1)prior probabilities;2)likelihood probabilities;and 3)____________________ probabilities.

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Cysts After researching cysts of a particular type,a doctor learns that out of 10,000 such cysts examined,1,500 are malignant and 8,500 are benign.A diagnostic test is available which is accurate 80% of the time (whether the cyst is malignant or not).The doctor has discovered the same type of cyst in a patient. -{Cysts Narrative} What is the probability that the patient will test positive?

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