Exam 6: Probability

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The intersection of events A and B is the event that occurs when:

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A and B are disjoint events,with P(A)= 0.20 and P(B)= 0.30.Then P(A and B)is:

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Although there is a formula defining Bayes' law,you can also use a probability tree to conduct calculations.

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Suppose the probability that a person owns both a cat and a dog is 0.10.Also suppose the probability that a person owns a cat but not a dog is 0.20.The marginal probability that someone owns a cat is 0.30.

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Financial Consultants A Financial Consultant has classified his clients according to their gender and the composition of their investment portfolio (primarily bonds,primarily stocks,or a balanced mix of bonds and stocks).The proportions of clients falling into the various categories are shown in the following table:  Financial Consultants A Financial Consultant has classified his clients according to their gender and the composition of their investment portfolio (primarily bonds,primarily stocks,or a balanced mix of bonds and stocks).The proportions of clients falling into the various categories are shown in the following table:   One client is selected at random,and two events A and B are defined as follows: A: The client selected is male. B: The client selected has a balanced portfolio. ​ ​ -{Financial Consultants Narrative} Express each of the following probabilities in words: a.P(A|B) b.P(B|A) One client is selected at random,and two events A and B are defined as follows: A: The client selected is male. B: The client selected has a balanced portfolio. ​ ​ -{Financial Consultants Narrative} Express each of the following probabilities in words: a.P(A|B) b.P(B|A)

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Equity Loan Rates A survey of banks estimated the following probabilities for the interest rate being charged on a equity loan based on a 30-year loan,based on past records.  Equity Loan Rates A survey of banks estimated the following probabilities for the interest rate being charged on a equity loan based on a 30-year loan,based on past records.   ​ ​ -{Equity Loan Rates Narrative} If a bank is selected at random from this distribution,what is the probability that the interest rate charged on a home loan exceeds 7.0%? ​ ​ -{Equity Loan Rates Narrative} If a bank is selected at random from this distribution,what is the probability that the interest rate charged on a home loan exceeds 7.0%?

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Suppose two events A and B are related.The ____________________ probability of A is the probability that A occurs,regardless of whether event B occurred or not.

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Club Members A survey of a club's members indicates that 50% own a home,80% own a car,and 90% of the homeowners who subscribe also own a car. ​ ​ -{Club Members Narrative} What is the probability that a club member owns neither a car nor a house?

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A conditional probability of A given B is written in probability notation as ____________________.

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Drunk Drivers Six hundred accidents that occurred on a Saturday night were analyzed.Two items noted were the number of vehicles involved and whether alcohol played a role in the accident.The numbers are shown below: Drunk Drivers  Six hundred accidents that occurred on a Saturday night were analyzed.Two items noted were the number of vehicles involved and whether alcohol played a role in the accident.The numbers are shown below:   ​ ​ -{Drunk Drivers Narrative} If alcohol was not involved,what proportion of the accidents were multiple vehicle? ​ ​ -{Drunk Drivers Narrative} If alcohol was not involved,what proportion of the accidents were multiple vehicle?

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Certification Test ​ A standard certification test was given at three locations.1,000 candidates took the test at location A,600 candidates at location B,and 400 candidates at location C.The percentages of candidates from locations A,B,and C who passed the test were 70%,68%,and 77%,respectively.One candidate is selected at random from among those who took the test. ​ ​ -{Certification Test Narrative} What is the probability that the selected candidate took the test at location C and failed?

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Cars Suppose X = the number of cars owned by a family in the U.S.The probability distribution of X is shown in the table below. Cars  Suppose X = the number of cars owned by a family in the U.S.The probability distribution of X is shown in the table below.   ​ ​ -{Cars Narrative} Suppose you choose two families at random.What is the chance that they each own one car? (That means family A owns a car and family B owns a car.) ​ ​ -{Cars Narrative} Suppose you choose two families at random.What is the chance that they each own one car? (That means family A owns a car and family B owns a car.)

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If A and B are independent,then P(A|B)= ____________________.

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Which of the following best describes the concept of marginal probability?

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A random experiment is an action or process that leads to one of several possible ____________________.

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If A and B are independent events with P(A)= 0.20 and P(B)= 0.60,then P(A|B)is:

(Multiple Choice)
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Financial Consultants A Financial Consultant has classified his clients according to their gender and the composition of their investment portfolio (primarily bonds,primarily stocks,or a balanced mix of bonds and stocks).The proportions of clients falling into the various categories are shown in the following table:  Financial Consultants A Financial Consultant has classified his clients according to their gender and the composition of their investment portfolio (primarily bonds,primarily stocks,or a balanced mix of bonds and stocks).The proportions of clients falling into the various categories are shown in the following table:   One client is selected at random,and two events A and B are defined as follows: A: The client selected is male. B: The client selected has a balanced portfolio. ​ ​ -{Financial Consultants Narrative} Find the following probabilities: a.P(A|B) b.P(B|A) One client is selected at random,and two events A and B are defined as follows: A: The client selected is male. B: The client selected has a balanced portfolio. ​ ​ -{Financial Consultants Narrative} Find the following probabilities: a.P(A|B) b.P(B|A)

(Short Answer)
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Which of the following statements is false?

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Messenger Service ​ Three messenger services deliver to a small town in Oregon.Service A has 60% of all the scheduled deliveries,service B has 30%,and service C has the remaining 10%.Their on-time rates are 80%,60%,and 40% respectively.Define event O as a service delivers a package on time. ​ ​ -{Messenger Service Narrative} If a package was delivered on time,what is the probability that it was service C?

(Essay)
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Assume that A and B are independent events with P(A)= 0.30 and P(B)= 0.50.The probability that both events will occur simultaneously is 0.80.

(True/False)
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