Exam 6: Probability

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Bayes' Law involves three different types of probabilities: 1)____________________ probabilities; 2)likelihood probabilities; and 3)posterior probabilities.

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Two events A and B are said to be independent if P(A)= P(A|B).

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Suppose P(A)= 0.60,P(B)= 0.85,and A and B are independent.The probability of the complement of the event (A and B)is:

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If A and B are mutually exclusive events with P(A)= 0.75,then P(B):

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If the events A and B are independent with P(A)= 0.35 and P(B)= 0.45,then the probability that both events will occur simultaneously is:

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Financial Consultants A Financial Consultant has classified his clients according to their gender and the composition of their investment portfolio (primarily bonds,primarily stocks,or a balanced mix of bonds and stocks).The proportions of clients falling into the various categories are shown in the following table:  Financial Consultants A Financial Consultant has classified his clients according to their gender and the composition of their investment portfolio (primarily bonds,primarily stocks,or a balanced mix of bonds and stocks).The proportions of clients falling into the various categories are shown in the following table:   One client is selected at random,and two events A and B are defined as follows: A: The client selected is male. B: The client selected has a balanced portfolio. ​ ​ -{Financial Consultants Narrative} Find P(A and B). One client is selected at random,and two events A and B are defined as follows: A: The client selected is male. B: The client selected has a balanced portfolio. ​ ​ -{Financial Consultants Narrative} Find P(A and B).

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Bayes' Law is used to compute:

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If either event A or event B must occur,they are called mutually exclusive.

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A(n)____________________ of a random experiment is a list of all possible outcomes of the experiment.

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If two events are mutually exclusive,what is the probability that both occur at the same time?

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The probability of an intersection of two events is called a(n)____________________ probability.

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Construction Bids ​ A construction company has submitted bids on two separate state contracts,A and B.The company feels that it has a 60% chance of winning contract A,and a 50% chance of winning contract B.Furthermore,the company believes that it has an 80% chance of winning contract A if it wins contract B. ​ ​ -{Construction Bids Narrative} What is the probability that the company will win at most one of the two contracts?

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Marital Status An insurance company has collected the following data on the gender and marital status of 570 customers. Marital Status An insurance company has collected the following data on the gender and marital status of 570 customers.   suppose that a customer is selected at random. -{Marital Status Narrative} Find the probability that the customer selected is female or divorced. suppose that a customer is selected at random. -{Marital Status Narrative} Find the probability that the customer selected is female or divorced.

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If A and B are independent events with P(A)= 0.60 and P(A|B)= 0.60,then P(B)is:

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If the event of interest is A,the probability that A will not occur is the complement of A.

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Suppose P(A)= 0.30,P(B)= 0.50,and P(B|A)= 0.60. a.Find P(A and B). b.Find P(A or B). c.Find P(A|B).

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Certification Test ​ A standard certification test was given at three locations.1,000 candidates took the test at location A,600 candidates at location B,and 400 candidates at location C.The percentages of candidates from locations A,B,and C who passed the test were 70%,68%,and 77%,respectively.One candidate is selected at random from among those who took the test. ​ ​ -{Certification Test Narrative} What is the probability that the selected candidate passed the test?

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College Professorship ​ A Ph.D.graduate has applied for a job with two colleges: A and B.The graduate feels that she has a 60% chance of receiving an offer from college A and a 50% chance of receiving an offer from college B.If she receives an offer from college B,she believes that she has an 80% chance of receiving an offer from college A.Let A = receiving an offer from college A,and let B = receiving an offer from college B. ​ ​ -{College Professorship Narrative} What is the probability that both colleges will make her an offer?

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Drunk Drivers Six hundred accidents that occurred on a Saturday night were analyzed.Two items noted were the number of vehicles involved and whether alcohol played a role in the accident.The numbers are shown below: Drunk Drivers  Six hundred accidents that occurred on a Saturday night were analyzed.Two items noted were the number of vehicles involved and whether alcohol played a role in the accident.The numbers are shown below:   ​ ​ -{Drunk Drivers Narrative} Given alcohol was involved,what proportion of accidents involved a single vehicle? ​ ​ -{Drunk Drivers Narrative} Given alcohol was involved,what proportion of accidents involved a single vehicle?

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If P(A)= 0.4 and P(B)= 0.6,then A and B must be collectively exhaustive.

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