Exam 20: Uncertainty, Risk, and Private Information

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The wealthy are generally more risk-averse than the poor, since the wealthy have more to lose.

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Use the following to answer questions: Scenario: Flood Area Suppose you own a home that is estimated to be worth $250,000. You live in a flood plain; as a result, the probability that you will lose your home to a flood is 30%. -(Scenario: Flood Area) Look at the scenario Flood Area. Suppose an insurance company offers you flood insurance. Most likely this insurance would require a premium payment:

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Use the following to answer questions: Figure: Differences in Risk Aversion Use the following to answer questions: Figure: Differences in Risk Aversion   -(Figure: Differences in Risk Aversion) Look at the figure Differences in Risk Aversion. An important reason Ernest and Salvatore may differ in their aversion to risk is: -(Figure: Differences in Risk Aversion) Look at the figure Differences in Risk Aversion. An important reason Ernest and Salvatore may differ in their aversion to risk is:

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Health insurance policies include deductibles:

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A random variable has a certain future value.

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Risk-averse individuals will always buy insurance, regardless of the premiums charged.

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If there is a 25% probability that Joseph will earn $10 per hour at his job today and a 75% probability that he will earn $20 per hour today, his expected pay per hour is:

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In practice, insurance companies faced with adverse selection use _____ to deal with it.

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Use the following to answer questions: Use the following to answer questions:   -(Table: Total Utility of Income After College Expenses) The Smith family will choose to purchase insurance: -(Table: Total Utility of Income After College Expenses) The Smith family will choose to purchase insurance:

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You are considering the purchase of one ticket for a raffle with a grand prize of $1,000. There are two prizes worth $100 and five prizes worth $20. If you know that only 100 tickets will be sold, what is the most you would pay for one raffle ticket?

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Use the following to answer questions: Scenario: Choosing Insurance The Ramirez family owns three cars and is considering buying insurance to cover the cost of repairs. They face two possible states: in state 1 their cars need no repairs and their income available for purchasing other goods and services is $50,000; in state 2 their cars need $10,000 worth of repairs and their income available for purchasing other goods and services is reduced to $40,000. The probability of repairs is 10%, while the probability of no repairs is 90%. -(Scenario: Choosing Insurance) Refer to the information in the scenario Choosing Insurance. For $2,000 the Ramirez family can buy insurance that will cover the full cost of repairs. If family members are risk-averse and want to maximize their expected utility:

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A fair insurance policy is one in which the premium equals the expected value of the claim.

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Use the following to answer questions: Figure: Risk Aversion Use the following to answer questions: Figure: Risk Aversion   -(Figure: Risk Aversion) Look at the figure Risk Aversion. Bob and Nancy have the same income and total utility. Nancy will be willing to pay a ____ insurance premium than Bob because she is _____ risk-averse. -(Figure: Risk Aversion) Look at the figure Risk Aversion. Bob and Nancy have the same income and total utility. Nancy will be willing to pay a ____ insurance premium than Bob because she is _____ risk-averse.

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Two individuals make up the auto insurance market. Bonnie drives well, and the probability of her having an accident is 10% this year. Lisa also drives carefully, and her probability of having an accident is 5%. What is the probability that Bonnie and Lisa will both have accidents this year?

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Use the following to answer questions: Scenario: Health Costs Alan is hoping for a healthy year, meaning that he would have zero health costs. Given his habits, there is a 40% chance that Alan will develop a health issue resulting in $50,000 in health costs. Assume these are the only two conditions that could exist for Alan in the coming year. -(Scenario: Health Costs) Look at the scenario Health Costs. Given the fact that Alan has a 40% chance of developing a health problem, what is the expected value of Alan's health care costs for the coming year?

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The opportunity to engage in pooling shifts the _____ curve of insurance to the right; insurance companies will take on _____ risk and charge a _____ premium than without pooling.

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Buying a warranty on a new television is an example of paying to avoid risk.

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Fire insurance policies include deductibles:

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A fair insurance policy is one whose premium:

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Toyotas are known for their quality and durability. As a result, compared to other used car markets, adverse selection in the used Toyota market is:

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