Exam 13: Weather Forecasting

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Another aid in weather forecasting is the use of ____________________-a two-dimensional vertical profile of temperature,dew point,and winds.​

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A probability forecast that calls for a "40 percent chance of rain" means that​

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Suppose that it is presently warm and raining.A cold front will pass your area in 3 hours.Behind the front,it is cold and snowing.A persistence forecast would predict warm and rainy weather.

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Because of the atmosphere's chaotic nature,meteorologists are turning to a technique called ____________________,an approach based on running several forecast models,to improve short- and medium-range forecasts.​

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The final forecast chart representing the atmosphere at a specified future time is called a(n)____________________,or,simply,a(n)____________________.​

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An analysis is a

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The forecasting technique that produces several versions of a forecast model,each beginning with slightly different weather information to reflect errors in the measurements,is called​

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Automated Surface Observing Systems (ASOS)measure

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In the course of a single workday,a typical forecaster may examine and compare ____ individual weather maps.

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A type of dynamic instability known as____________________ develops from the deepening of an upper trough as the result of high wind speeds,cold air moving southward,warm air moving northward,and a shortwave moving into a longwave trough.

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A downside of high-resolution models is that,as the horizontal spacing between grid points decreases,the number of computations increases.When the distance is halved,there are 8 times as many computations to perform,and the time (and computational expense)required to run the model goes up by a factor of 16.

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A weather forecast for up to a few hours (usually not more than 6 hours)is called a(n)____________________ forecast,or ____________________.

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​Which of the following is the least likely to be a forecaster's rule of thumb?

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____ tend to steer the movement of surface pressure systems.

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The analog method is often referred to as ____________________.

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A long-range forecast is a forecast that extends beyond about​

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In 300 B.C.,Theophrastus,a pupil of Aristotle compiled all sorts of weather indicators in his book called ____________________.​

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State the methods used in forecasting the movement of surface pressure systems and fronts.

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Very short-range forecasts often utilize which of the following forecast methods?

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Suppose that where you live,the middle of January is typically several degrees warmer than the rest of the month.If you forecast this "January thaw" for the middle of next January,what type of a weather forecast will you have made?

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