Exam 2: Review of Probability

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The conditional expectation of Y given X,E(Y The conditional expectation of Y given X,E(Y   ,is calculated as follows: ,is calculated as follows:

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The sample average is a random variable and

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What is the probability of the following outcomes? (a)Pr(M = 7) (b)Pr(M = 2 or M = 10) (c)Pr(M = 4 or M ≠ 4) (d)Pr(M = 6 and M = 9) (e)Pr(M < 8) (f)Pr(M = 6 or M > 10)

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The kurtosis of a distribution is defined as follows:

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Calculate the following probabilities using the standard normal distribution.Sketch the probability distribution in each case,shading in the area of the calculated probability. (a)Pr(Z < 0.0) (b)Pr(Z ≤ 1.0) (c)Pr(Z > 1.96) (d)Pr(Z < -2.0) (e)Pr(Z > 1.645) (f)Pr(Z > -1.645) (g)Pr(-1.96 < Z < 1.96) (i. )Pr(Z > z)= 0.10;find z. (j. )Pr(Z < -z or Z > z)= 0.05;find z.

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The accompanying table gives the outcomes and probability distribution of the number of times a student checks her e-mail daily: Probability of Checking E-Mail The accompanying table gives the outcomes and probability distribution of the number of times a student checks her e-mail daily: Probability of Checking E-Mail    Sketch the probability distribution.Next,calculate the c.d.f.for the above table.What is the probability of her checking her e-mail between 1 and 3 times a day? Of checking it more than 3 times a day? Sketch the probability distribution.Next,calculate the c.d.f.for the above table.What is the probability of her checking her e-mail between 1 and 3 times a day? Of checking it more than 3 times a day?

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In econometrics,we typically do not rely on exact or finite sample distributions because

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The mean of the sample average The mean of the sample average   ,   ,is , The mean of the sample average   ,   ,is ,is

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The skewness of the distribution of a random variable Y is defined as follows:

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Let Y be a random variable.Then var(Y)equals

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To infer the political tendencies of the students at your college/university,you sample 150 of them.Only one of the following is a simple random sample: You

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Use a standard spreadsheet program,such as Excel,to find the following probabilities from various distributions analyzed in the current chapter: a.If Y is distributed N (1,4),find Pr(Y ≤ 3) b.If Y is distributed N (3,9),find Pr(Y > 0) c.If Y is distributed N (50,25),find Pr(40 ≤ Y ≤ 52) d.If Y is distributed N (5,2),find Pr(6 ≤ Y ≤ 8)

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Assume that Y is normally distributed N(μ,σ2).To find Pr(c1 ≤ Y ≤ c2),where c1 < c2 and di = Assume that Y is normally distributed N(μ,σ2).To find Pr(c1 ≤ Y ≤ c2),where c1 < c2 and di =   ,you need to calculate Pr(d1 ≤ Z ≤ d2)= ,you need to calculate Pr(d1 ≤ Z ≤ d2)=

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Following Alfred Nobel's will,there are five Nobel Prizes awarded each year.These are for outstanding achievements in Chemistry,Physics,Physiology or Medicine,Literature,and Peace.In 1968,the Bank of Sweden added a prize in Economic Sciences in memory of Alfred Nobel.You think of the data as describing a population,rather than a sample from which you want to infer behavior of a larger population.The accompanying table lists the joint probability distribution between recipients in economics and the other five prizes,and the citizenship of the recipients,based on the 1969-2001 period. Joint Distribution of Nobel Prize Winners in Economics and Non-Economics Disciplines,and Citizenship,1969-2001 Following Alfred Nobel's will,there are five Nobel Prizes awarded each year.These are for outstanding achievements in Chemistry,Physics,Physiology or Medicine,Literature,and Peace.In 1968,the Bank of Sweden added a prize in Economic Sciences in memory of Alfred Nobel.You think of the data as describing a population,rather than a sample from which you want to infer behavior of a larger population.The accompanying table lists the joint probability distribution between recipients in economics and the other five prizes,and the citizenship of the recipients,based on the 1969-2001 period. Joint Distribution of Nobel Prize Winners in Economics and Non-Economics Disciplines,and Citizenship,1969-2001    (a)Compute E(Y)and interpret the resulting number. (b)Calculate and interpret E(Y   =1)and E(Y   =0). (c)A randomly selected Nobel Prize winner reports that he is a non-U.S.citizen.What is the probability that this genius has won the Economics Nobel Prize? A Nobel Prize in the other five disciplines? (d)Show what the joint distribution would look like if the two categories were independent. (a)Compute E(Y)and interpret the resulting number. (b)Calculate and interpret E(Y Following Alfred Nobel's will,there are five Nobel Prizes awarded each year.These are for outstanding achievements in Chemistry,Physics,Physiology or Medicine,Literature,and Peace.In 1968,the Bank of Sweden added a prize in Economic Sciences in memory of Alfred Nobel.You think of the data as describing a population,rather than a sample from which you want to infer behavior of a larger population.The accompanying table lists the joint probability distribution between recipients in economics and the other five prizes,and the citizenship of the recipients,based on the 1969-2001 period. Joint Distribution of Nobel Prize Winners in Economics and Non-Economics Disciplines,and Citizenship,1969-2001    (a)Compute E(Y)and interpret the resulting number. (b)Calculate and interpret E(Y   =1)and E(Y   =0). (c)A randomly selected Nobel Prize winner reports that he is a non-U.S.citizen.What is the probability that this genius has won the Economics Nobel Prize? A Nobel Prize in the other five disciplines? (d)Show what the joint distribution would look like if the two categories were independent. =1)and E(Y Following Alfred Nobel's will,there are five Nobel Prizes awarded each year.These are for outstanding achievements in Chemistry,Physics,Physiology or Medicine,Literature,and Peace.In 1968,the Bank of Sweden added a prize in Economic Sciences in memory of Alfred Nobel.You think of the data as describing a population,rather than a sample from which you want to infer behavior of a larger population.The accompanying table lists the joint probability distribution between recipients in economics and the other five prizes,and the citizenship of the recipients,based on the 1969-2001 period. Joint Distribution of Nobel Prize Winners in Economics and Non-Economics Disciplines,and Citizenship,1969-2001    (a)Compute E(Y)and interpret the resulting number. (b)Calculate and interpret E(Y   =1)and E(Y   =0). (c)A randomly selected Nobel Prize winner reports that he is a non-U.S.citizen.What is the probability that this genius has won the Economics Nobel Prize? A Nobel Prize in the other five disciplines? (d)Show what the joint distribution would look like if the two categories were independent. =0). (c)A randomly selected Nobel Prize winner reports that he is a non-U.S.citizen.What is the probability that this genius has won the Economics Nobel Prize? A Nobel Prize in the other five disciplines? (d)Show what the joint distribution would look like if the two categories were independent.

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The expected value of a discrete random variable

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The table accompanying lists the joint distribution of unemployment in the United States in 2001 by demographic characteristics (race and gender). Joint Distribution of Unemployment by Demographic Characteristics, United States,2001 The table accompanying lists the joint distribution of unemployment in the United States in 2001 by demographic characteristics (race and gender). Joint Distribution of Unemployment by Demographic Characteristics, United States,2001    (a)What is the percentage of unemployed white teenagers? (b)Calculate the conditional distribution for the categories white and black and other. (c)Given your answer in the previous question,how do you reconcile this fact with the probability to be 60% of finding an unemployed adult white person,and only 22% for the category black and other. (a)What is the percentage of unemployed white teenagers? (b)Calculate the conditional distribution for the categories "white" and "black and other." (c)Given your answer in the previous question,how do you reconcile this fact with the probability to be 60% of finding an unemployed adult white person,and only 22% for the category "black and other."

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The covariance inequality states that

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Consistency for the sample average Consistency for the sample average   can be defined as follows,with the exception of can be defined as follows,with the exception of

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SAT scores in Mathematics are normally distributed with a mean of 500 and a standard deviation of 100.The formula for the normal distribution is SAT scores in Mathematics are normally distributed with a mean of 500 and a standard deviation of 100.The formula for the normal distribution is   .Use the scatter plot option in a standard spreadsheet program,such as Excel,to plot the Mathematics SAT distribution using this formula.Start by entering 300 as the first SAT score in the first column (the lowest score you can get in the mathematics section as long as you fill in your name correctly),and then increment the scores by 10 until you reach 800.In the second column,use the formula for the normal distribution and calculate f(Y).Then use the scatter plot option,where you eventually remove markers and substitute these with the solid line option. .Use the scatter plot option in a standard spreadsheet program,such as Excel,to plot the Mathematics SAT distribution using this formula.Start by entering 300 as the first SAT score in the first column (the lowest score you can get in the mathematics section as long as you fill in your name correctly),and then increment the scores by 10 until you reach 800.In the second column,use the formula for the normal distribution and calculate f(Y).Then use the scatter plot option,where you eventually remove markers and substitute these with the solid line option.

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To standardize a variable you

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