Exam 14: Sovereign Risk

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Sellers of LDC debt in secondary markets include small FIs wishing to disengage themselves from the LDC market.

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Lending to a foreign party is a two-step decision involving both sovereign risk and interest rate risk.

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The advantage to the borrowing country of a Brady bond versus a loan from an FI is the much longer maturity and thus the lower payment schedule of a Brady bond.

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The Euromoney Country Risk Index for a given country currently is based on the

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Which of the following describes debt rescheduling?

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Commodity price and quantity risk is measured by which of the following variables in the credit scoring model to estimate sovereign country risk exposure?

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A possible reason for the high systematic risk of VAREX in LCDs and EMs is

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The following is an example of a credit scoring model to estimate the probability of debt rescheduling: Pi = 0.25DSRi + 0.17IRi - 0.03 INVRi + 0.84VAREXi + 0.93 MGi Where Pi is the probability of rescheduling country I's debt;DSR is the country's debt service ratio;IR is the country's import ratio;INVR is the country's investment ratio;VAREX is the country's variance of export revenue;and MG is the country's rate of growth of the domestic money supply. Two countries are identical in all respects except that country A's rate of growth of the domestic money supply (MG)is 33 percent,while country B's MG is 25 percent,and country A's variance of export revenue (VAREX)is 3.75 percent,while country B's VAREX is 10 percent.Based only on these two variables,which country possesses the most sovereign country risk?

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Making a lending decision to a party residing in a foreign country is a two-step decision.What are the two steps involved in such a decision?

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All of the following are relevant determinants of sovereign risk exposure: the rate of domestic money supply growth;the variance of export revenue,and the size of the population.

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In international finance,the investment ratio is determined by dividing the value of real investment by the

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Lenders may find it costly to reschedule non-accruing sovereign country debt because

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In international finance,the debt service ratio is found by dividing interest and amortization payments by the

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Country risk analysis (CRA)statistical credit scoring models are very adept at capturing political risk events such as strikes,elections,corruption,etc.

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In the LCD and EM debt markets,sovereign bonds have historically been issued in foreign currencies.

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The following is an example of a credit scoring model to estimate the probability of debt rescheduling for country I: Pi = 0.25DSRi + 0.17IRi - 0.03 INVRi + 0.84VAREXi + 0.93 MGi Where Pi is the probability of rescheduling country I's debt;DSR is the country's debt service ratio;IR is the country's import ratio;INVR is the country's investment ratio;VAREX is the country's variance of export revenue;and MG is the country's rate of growth of the domestic money supply. What is an important determinant of rescheduling probability if inflation is a prime concern?

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Which of the following is true of Brady bonds?

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A possible reason for the high systematic risk of the debt service ratio (DSR)in LDCs and EMs is

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Which of the following is a benefit to the lender in a loan rescheduling?

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Which of the following describes debt repudiation?

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