Exam 22: International Financial Management

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Assume PPP holds at a time when the exchange rate is €1.75/$ and a market basket of goods costs €500.How many dollars would you expect to spend on the goods? Germany is expecting 10% inflation while the United States is expecting 4% inflation.What would you predict to happen to exchange rates?

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Since purchasing power parity is said to initially hold,the market basket of goods should cost $285.71 on the spot market.There is no reason to suspect that PPP will not continue to hold,since it now does,and this would suggest that the expected spot exchange rate of euros for dollars is expected to go up.This says that the euro is losing value against the dollar.The ratio of expected future spot rate to current spot rate should equal the ratio of one plus the German inflation rate to one plus the U.S.inflation rate.Thus,the expected future spot rate will be 5.77% higher than today.

The following table shows the price of a Starbuck's tall latte coffee in different locations expressed in local currencies and converted into dollars using the spot rate of exchange.For example,a tall latte in London costs £1.90; at an exchange rate of $1.989 per pound,this is equivalent to a price of £1.90 *$1.989/£ = $3.78.This is 24% higher than the cost of a similar coffee in New York; for the costs to be equal,the pound would need to depreciate against the dollar.

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   a.Make an educated guess before doing any calculation: Which currency is least undervalued or overvalued against the U.S.dollar? Why do you guess so? b.What spot exchange rate establishes the law of one price for the tall latte in New York and in each of the foreign cities? c.If the nominal spot exchange rates are as given,what are the real exchange rates (latte exchange rates)? What are the units of the calculation? d.According to your calculation,are the foreign currencies overvalued or undervalued against U.S.Dollar?    a.HK dollars.It's because the HK dollar is pegged to the U.S.dollar. b.As shown in column (4)above. c.As shown in column (4)above.The unit is the number of foreign lattes that one U.S.latte may exchange for or the foreign lattes' U.S.latte price. If the number is larger than 1,then the U.S.latte is more expensive (and less competitive)than the foreign one,and the foreign currency is overvalued. d.As shown in column (5)above.
a.Make an educated guess before doing any calculation: Which currency is least undervalued or overvalued against the U.S.dollar? Why do you guess so?
b.What spot exchange rate establishes the law of one price for the tall latte in New York and in each of the foreign cities?
c.If the nominal spot exchange rates are as given,what are the real exchange rates (latte exchange rates)? What are the units of the calculation?
d.According to your calculation,are the foreign currencies overvalued or undervalued against U.S.Dollar?    a.Make an educated guess before doing any calculation: Which currency is least undervalued or overvalued against the U.S.dollar? Why do you guess so? b.What spot exchange rate establishes the law of one price for the tall latte in New York and in each of the foreign cities? c.If the nominal spot exchange rates are as given,what are the real exchange rates (latte exchange rates)? What are the units of the calculation? d.According to your calculation,are the foreign currencies overvalued or undervalued against U.S.Dollar?    a.HK dollars.It's because the HK dollar is pegged to the U.S.dollar. b.As shown in column (4)above. c.As shown in column (4)above.The unit is the number of foreign lattes that one U.S.latte may exchange for or the foreign lattes' U.S.latte price. If the number is larger than 1,then the U.S.latte is more expensive (and less competitive)than the foreign one,and the foreign currency is overvalued. d.As shown in column (5)above.
a.HK dollars.It's because the HK dollar is pegged to the U.S.dollar.
b.As shown in column (4)above.
c.As shown in column (4)above.The unit is "the number of foreign lattes that one U.S.latte may exchange for" or "the foreign lattes' U.S.latte price." If the number is larger than 1,then the U.S.latte is more expensive (and less competitive)than the foreign one,and the foreign currency is overvalued.
d.As shown in column (5)above.

If the direct quote for the euro (€)is $0.51/€,then the indirect quote for the euro will be:

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D

If the indirect exchange rate between French francs and U.S.dollars is 6.8/1,then the direct exchange rate between these currencies is:

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You have bid for a possible export order that would provide a cash inflow of €1 million in 1 year.The spot exchange rate is $.9644/€ and the 1-year forward rate is $.9503/€.There are two sources of uncertainty: (1)the euro could appreciate to $1.00/€ or depreciate to $.90/€,and (2)you may or may not receive the export order.Illustrate in each case the profits or losses that you would make if you sell €1 million forward.

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If exchange rates adjust to reflect inflation differentials across countries,then:

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Made-to-measure currency options can be bought from the major banks,and standardized options are traded on the options exchange.

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An indirect exchange rate can be converted to a direct exchange rate by:

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Transaction risk is easily identified and hedged.

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Would you be willing to exchange dollars for pounds at a rate of $1.50/£ to invest in London and earn a 1-year rate of 10%,as opposed to investing in the United States for a 5% return? What things might you first consider before investing?

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Consider the following spot exchange rates: $1.60/£,¥105/$,€1.6/$,and L2,020/$.Which of the following seems to violate the law of one price if gold sells for $290 per ounce in the United States?

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The ratio of expected spot rate to current spot rate for $/£ is 1.02 and the inflation rate in the United States is 5%.What is the approximate inflation rate in the United Kingdom?

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Which of the following would you expect to improve the dollar NPV of a foreign capital budgeting proposal?

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The international Fisher effect predicts that differences in nominal interest rates between countries reflect differences in:

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What is the law of one price? When would you expect it to hold and when would you not expect it to hold?

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If purchasing power parity is holding,what will happen to the currency of a country with high inflation?

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Where would you prefer to invest,and why,if nominal rates are 10% in the United States and 25% in Holland,while the expected rates of inflation are 5% and 19%,respectively? Assume investments of equal risk.

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Knowing the value of compounding,you consider the opportunity to invest for 10 years in a Japanese investment that will return 12% annually.The U.S.alternative for a 10-year investment appears to offer 7% annually.The spot exchange rate is ¥96/$.What other concern should you have?

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The difference in interest rates between countries is believed to be equal to the expected change in spot exchange rates.

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A U.S.firm owes ¥10 million 3 months from now.The spot exchange rate is ¥95/$ and the forward rate is ¥96/$.Is the yen selling at a forward premium or discount,related to the dollar? Does the firm face exchange risk? Would you suggest that it buy now or later?

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