Essay
You have bid for a possible export order that would provide a cash inflow of €1 million in 1 year.The spot exchange rate is $.9644/€ and the 1-year forward rate is $.9503/€.There are two sources of uncertainty: (1)the euro could appreciate to $1.00/€ or depreciate to $.90/€,and (2)you may or may not receive the export order.Illustrate in each case the profits or losses that you would make if you sell €1 million forward.
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