Exam 3: Probability

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THE NEXT QUESTIONS ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION: A manufacturer of automobiles conducted a market survey.Eighty percent of the customers want better fuel efficiency,while 55% want a vehicle navigation system and 45% percent want both features. -The probability that a person wants a better fuel efficiency given that he wants a vehicle navigation system is approximately:

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If P(A)= 0.20,P(B)= 0.40,and P(A ∩B)= 0.08,then A and B are said to be:

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Odds in favor of a particular event are given by the ratio of the probability of the event divided by the probability of the population.

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THE NEXT QUESTIONS ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION: In a recent survey of consumer confidence,160 respondents were classified by their level of education.The results of the survey are presented below. THE NEXT QUESTIONS ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION: In a recent survey of consumer confidence,160 respondents were classified by their level of education.The results of the survey are presented below.   -What proportion of respondents had at least some college education and had high confidence? -What proportion of respondents had at least some college education and had high confidence?

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Bayes' Theorem is used to compute:

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The probabilities that result from studying two distinct sets of events are called:

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THE NEXT QUESTIONS ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION: A manufacturer of automobiles conducted a market survey.Eighty percent of the customers want better fuel efficiency,while 55% want a vehicle navigation system and 45% percent want both features. -The probability that a person wants better fuel efficiency and also a vehicle navigation system is:

(Multiple Choice)
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Are there gender differences in response to the commercial?

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Conditional probability is the probability that an event will occur,given that another event will also occur.

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THE NEXT QUESTIONS ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION: Suppose you roll a pair of dice.Let A be the event that you observe an even number.Let B be the event that you observe a number greater than seven. -What is the complement of event A?

(Multiple Choice)
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THE NEXT QUESTIONS ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION: A personnel officer for a firm that employs many part time salespeople tries out a sales aptitude test on several hundred applicants.Because the test is unproven,results are not used in hiring.Forty percent of applicants show high aptitude on the test and 12% of those hired both show high and achieve good sales records.The firm's experience shows that 30% of all salespeople achieve good sales.Let A be the event "shows high aptitude" and let B be the event "achieves good sales". -What is P(A ∩B)?

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The diagram which provides an intuitive understanding of the addition rule which computes the probability of the union of events is called a:

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Express the probability P(B |A)in words

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Relative frequency probabilities indicate how often an event will occur compared to other events.

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If P(A)= 0.25 and P(B)= 0.60,then P(A ∩B)is:

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THE NEXT QUESTIONS ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION: A company wishes to evaluate the effectiveness of a marketing campaign.Seventy five percent of all potential professors were reached in a focused advertising program.Twenty eight percent of those contacted adopted the book while 8% of the adoptions came from professors who did not receive the promotional material.Define the following events of interest: A1 = Professor received advertising material A2 = Professor did not receive advertising material B1 = Professor adopts the book B2 = Professor does not adopt the book -What is the probability that a professor received advertising material and adopts the book?

(Essay)
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THE NEXT QUESTIONS ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION: A general contractor has submitted two bids for two projects;A and B.The probability of getting project A is 0.60.The probability of getting project B is 0.75.The probability of getting at least one of the projects is 0.85. -Are the events of getting the two projects mutually exclusive? Explain using probabilities.

(Essay)
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THE NEXT QUESTIONS ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION: In a recent survey about US policy in Iraq,62 % of the respondents said that they support US policy in Iraq.Females comprised 53% of the sample,and of the females,46% supported US policy in Iraq.A person is selected at random. -What is the probability that the person we select is female and supports U.S.policy in Iraq?

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Express the event "A ∩ B" in words

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A junior executive looking at his business attire in his closet notes that he has eight suits,six shirts,and four pairs of shoes.He is going on a business trip and needs to take two of each.How many different combinations of outfits could he take?

(Multiple Choice)
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