Exam 3: Probability

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Prior probability of an event is the probability of the event before any information affecting it is given.

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Bayes' Theorem allows us to compute conditional probabilities from other forms of probability.

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Business decisions and policies are often based on true sets of probabilities.

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THE NEXT QUESTIONS ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION: A survey of recent e-commerce start-up firms was undertaken at an industry convention.Representatives of the firm were asked for the geographic location of the firm as well as the firm's outlook for growth in the coming year.The results are provided below. THE NEXT QUESTIONS ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION: A survey of recent e-commerce start-up firms was undertaken at an industry convention.Representatives of the firm were asked for the geographic location of the firm as well as the firm's outlook for growth in the coming year.The results are provided below.   -What is the probability that one of these start-up firms was from the Northeast? -What is the probability that one of these start-up firms was from the Northeast?

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If a plane has just left 40 minutes late,what is the probability that it was airline C?

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Initial estimates of the probabilities of events are known as:

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THE NEXT QUESTIONS ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION: The probability that interest rates on housing loans will go up in the next 6 months is estimated to be 0.20.The probability that house sales will decrease is estimated to be 0.6.The probability that interest rates will go up and house sales will decrease is estimated to be 0.15. -The probability of not an increase in interest rates and not a decrease in house sales is:

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THE NEXT QUESTIONS ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION: Suppose you roll a pair of dice.Let A be the event that you observe an even number.Let B be the event that you observe a number greater than seven. -What is the union of events A and B?

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Which of the following is true?

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THE NEXT QUESTIONS ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION: A recent marketing survey related consumers' awareness of a new marketing campaign with their rating of the product.Consumers rated their awareness as low,medium,or high,and rated the product as poor,fair,or good.The results are presented below. THE NEXT QUESTIONS ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION: A recent marketing survey related consumers' awareness of a new marketing campaign with their rating of the product.Consumers rated their awareness as low,medium,or high,and rated the product as poor,fair,or good.The results are presented below.   -What is the probability that a consumer who had high awareness of the ad campaign ranked the product as good? -What is the probability that a consumer who had high awareness of the ad campaign ranked the product as good?

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Two events A and B are said to be mutually exclusive if:

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The proportion of times that an event will occur,assuming that all outcomes in a sample space are equally likely to occur,is called:

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THE NEXT QUESTIONS ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION: In a recent survey about US policy in Iraq,62 % of the respondents said that they support US policy in Iraq.Females comprised 53% of the sample,and of the females,46% supported US policy in Iraq.A person is selected at random. -What is the probability that the person we select is male and does not support US policy in Iraq?

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Which of the following best describes the proportion of times that an event will occur,assuming that all outcomes in a sample space are equally likely to occur?

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THE NEXT QUESTIONS ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION: A recent marketing survey related consumers' awareness of a new marketing campaign with their rating of the product.Consumers rated their awareness as low,medium,or high,and rated the product as poor,fair,or good.The results are presented below. THE NEXT QUESTIONS ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION: A recent marketing survey related consumers' awareness of a new marketing campaign with their rating of the product.Consumers rated their awareness as low,medium,or high,and rated the product as poor,fair,or good.The results are presented below.   -What is the probability that a consumer had low awareness? -What is the probability that a consumer had low awareness?

(Multiple Choice)
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There are four copy machines in the library.It is estimated that the probability that a particular copy machine is out of order is 0.3.Assuming that the machines work independently of each other what is the probability that at least one machine is out of order the next time you go to the library?

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Suppose A and B are two events where P(A)= 0.4,P(B)= 0.3,and P(A ∩A)= 0.5B)= 0.2.Then,P(B |

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Which of the following statements is always true for any two events A and B defined on a sample space S?

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Information on joint probabilities and marginal probabilities can be obtained from tree diagrams.

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THE NEXT QUESTIONS ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION: In a recent survey about US policy in Iraq,62 % of the respondents said that they support US policy in Iraq.Females comprised 53% of the sample,and of the females,46% supported US policy in Iraq.A person is selected at random. -What is the probability that the person we select is male and does support US policy in Iraq?

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