Exam 6: Designing Global Supply Chain Networks

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In a complex decision tree there are

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The present value of a stream of cash flows is what that stream is worth in today's dollars.

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Discuss the ideas that managers should consider to make better supply chain network design decisions under uncertainty.

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Among the sources of risk identified in global supply chains, the lowest among these four is

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Scenario 6.1 - The Big Box Bahouth Ltd. is planning for the next two years of production and debating whether to construct a large cross-dock facility with 40 truck bays or a smaller one with 20 truck bays. The cost to build the large facility is $2 million and the cost to build the small one is $1.2 million. If they construct a large facility and demand is as high as they hope, then operating costs are $450,000 annually. If they construct a large facility and demand is low, then operating costs are $300,000. If they construct a small facility and demand is low, the operating costs are $275,000 but if they experience high demand, the operating cost of a small facility increases to $600,000. After having conducted some market research, they feel that the likelihood of high demand is 0.7 and the likelihood of small demand is 0.3. -Suppose the contractor has found some materials on Craigslist that can drop the construction cost of a large facility to $1,500,000. These materials cannot be used in the construction of the small facility, so its price remains as indicated in Scenario 6.1. Determine the likelihood of high demand that would make the decision maker indifferent between the two alternatives for a two year time period.

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The XYZ Company has a choice between two warehouses. A lease at location A costs $1000 per month with a payment of $2000 up front to guarantee the 3 year lease. Location B would cost $1200 per month and would be leased from month to month. The anticipated revenue in either location is $1500 per month. The estimated rate of return is 10% per year. Using net present value, determine which location would be the better choice.

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Briefly describe the three primary risk mitigation strategies based on the idea of flexibility that supply chain managers can use.

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The rate of return k is also referred to as the present value of capital.

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Short-term contracts for both warehousing and transportation requirements will be more effective

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The NPV (net present value) of a cash stream that is equal to $75 per period for 5 periods with a rate of return of 15% per period would be

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Uncertainty of demand and price

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The evaluation of supply chain networks

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The degree of demand and price uncertainty has

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Scenario 6.1 - The Big Box Bahouth Ltd. is planning for the next two years of production and debating whether to construct a large cross-dock facility with 40 truck bays or a smaller one with 20 truck bays. The cost to build the large facility is $2 million and the cost to build the small one is $1.2 million. If they construct a large facility and demand is as high as they hope, then operating costs are $450,000 annually. If they construct a large facility and demand is low, then operating costs are $300,000. If they construct a small facility and demand is low, the operating costs are $275,000 but if they experience high demand, the operating cost of a small facility increases to $600,000. After having conducted some market research, they feel that the likelihood of high demand is 0.7 and the likelihood of small demand is 0.3. -Use the information from Scenario 6.1 to determine the cost of the best alternative for a two year period.

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What rate of return results in a present value of $432 for $250 received one year from now and another $250 received two years from now?

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During network design, managers need a methodology that allows them to estimate the certainty in their forecast of demand and price and then incorporate this certainty into the decision-making process.

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Simulation methods are very good at evaluating a decision where the path itself is decision dependent.

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The value of flexibility increases with an increase in uncertainty.

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A global supply chain with offshoring would tend to see which of these performance dimensions increase?

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The process of evaluating the present value of any stream of future cash flows so that management can compare two streams of cash flows in terms of their financial value is

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