Exam 15: The Future of International Politics

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What is true of advances in military technology?

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Why is it more difficult to deter terrorist organizations with nuclear weapons than countries with nuclear weapons?

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It is more difficult to deter terrorist organizations with nuclear weapons than countries with nuclear weapons for several reasons.

First, terrorist organizations are not bound by the same rules and norms as countries. They do not have a fixed territory or population to protect, and they are not accountable to any international community. This makes it harder to predict their behavior and to establish credible deterrence mechanisms.

Second, terrorist organizations are often motivated by ideological or religious beliefs, which makes them less susceptible to traditional deterrence strategies such as the threat of retaliation. They may be willing to accept high levels of destruction, including their own, in pursuit of their goals.

Third, terrorist organizations are often decentralized and operate in secret, making it difficult to identify and target their leadership or infrastructure. This makes it harder to establish a credible deterrent threat.

Finally, the potential consequences of a terrorist organization obtaining and using nuclear weapons are far more severe than those of a country using them. A terrorist group may be more likely to use nuclear weapons in a reckless or indiscriminate manner, leading to catastrophic humanitarian and environmental consequences.

Overall, the unique characteristics of terrorist organizations make it more difficult to deter them with nuclear weapons compared to countries. This highlights the importance of preventing terrorist groups from obtaining such weapons in the first place, through strong international cooperation and non-proliferation efforts.

How are terrorist groups likely to obtain nuclear weapons?

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Terrorist groups obtaining nuclear weapons is a complex and multifaceted issue that involves several potential pathways, each with its own set of challenges and likelihoods. Here are some of the ways in which terrorist groups might attempt to acquire nuclear weapons:

1. Theft of a Nuclear Weapon: Terrorist groups could potentially steal an existing nuclear weapon from a nation's military arsenal. However, this is highly challenging due to the stringent security measures surrounding nuclear weapons in most countries.

2. Purchase or Transfer: Terrorists might seek to purchase a nuclear weapon or the materials needed to build one from a corrupt official or a state willing to covertly support terrorism. This scenario also faces significant hurdles, as it would require a state to risk international condemnation and retaliation.

3. Black Market Acquisition: Non-state actors could attempt to acquire nuclear materials on the black market. The collapse of the Soviet Union, for example, raised concerns about the security of its nuclear arsenal and materials, although significant international efforts have been made to secure these materials.

4. Nuclear Proliferation Networks: Terrorist groups could exploit proliferation networks, similar to the one once operated by Pakistani scientist A.Q. Khan, which provided nuclear technology and knowledge to various countries. Such networks could potentially provide materials or expertise to non-state actors.

5. Indigenous Development: A terrorist group could try to develop its own nuclear weapon. This would require a significant level of technical expertise, resources, and access to fissile materials, making it a less likely scenario. However, the rise of the internet and the increasing availability of technical information have made this pathway slightly more plausible than in the past.

6. Radiological Dispersal Device: While not a true nuclear weapon, terrorists could construct a "dirty bomb" that combines conventional explosives with radioactive materials to spread contamination. This is considered a more likely threat than the acquisition of an actual nuclear weapon due to the relative ease of obtaining some radioactive materials and the simplicity of the device's construction.

It is important to note that the international community has taken numerous steps to prevent the proliferation of nuclear weapons and materials. Treaties such as the Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty (CTBT), and various United Nations Security Council resolutions aim to prevent the spread of nuclear weapons. Additionally, programs like the Cooperative Threat Reduction Program (Nunn-Lugar Amendment) have worked to secure nuclear materials in former Soviet states and beyond.

Despite these efforts, the possibility of a terrorist group obtaining a nuclear weapon, while low, remains a serious concern for global security, and it is a scenario that governments and international organizations continue to vigilantly guard against.

In terms of acquisition of nuclear weapons,which is true?

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Why is it UNLIKELY that other regions will create institutions like the EU?

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What is the relationship between globalization and income inequality?

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Which of the following scenarios would threaten the success of mutual nuclear deterrence?

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What does it mean to possess a survivable second-strike force?

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Which of the following is an example of central planning?

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If two states possess nuclear weapons and credibly commit to using them in a war,what effect does this have on bargaining between the two parties?

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How does the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty set standards of behavior and monitor compliance?

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Which period of transition between great powers was considered to be a peaceful transition?

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How does globalization make conflict more likely to occur? Does it reduce conflict over some types of goods?

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Which of the following is the superior strategy for preventing terrorists from obtaining WMD?

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Why might the proliferation of nuclear weapons be a reason for greater peace rather than conflict?

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What is NOT a result of globalization?

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Why didn't the rise in power of the United States lead to war?

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Why did the rising power of the United States in the nineteenth century NOT spark a war?

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According to the textbook,which country is likely to become the next global superpower in the twenty-first century?

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The rate of countries joining the nuclear weapons club has:

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