Exam 10: Measuring Exposure to Exchange Rate Fluctuations

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Which of the following operations benefit(s) from depreciation of the firm's local currency?

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C

The exposure of an MNC's consolidated financial statements to exchange rate fluctuations is known as transaction exposure.

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Exhibit 10-2 Volusia, Inc. is a U.S.-based exporting firm that expects to receive payments denominated in both euros and Canadian dollars in one month. Based on today's spot rates, the dollar value of the funds to be received is estimated at $500,000 for the euros and $300,000 for the Canadian dollars. Based on data for the last fiFty months, Volusia estimates the standard deviation of monthly percentage changes to be 8 percent for the euro and 3 percent for the Canadian dollar. The correlation coefficient between the euro and the Canadian dollar is 0.30. -Refer to Exhibit 10-2. Assuming an expected percentage change of 0 percent for each currency during the next month, what is the maximum one-month loss of the currency portfolio? Use a 95 percent confidence level and assume the monthly percentage changes for each currency are normally distributed.

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The maximum one-day loss estimated using the value-at-risk (VaR) method is independent of the confidence level used.

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Currency correlations are generally negative.

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A U.S. MNC has the equivalent of $1 million cash outflows in each of two highly negatively correlated currencies. During ____ dollar cycles, cash outflows are ____.

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U.S. based Majestic Co. sells products to U.S. consumers and purchases all of its materials from U.S. suppliers. Its main competitor is located in Belgium. Majestic Co. is subject to:

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Under FASB 52:

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Economic exposure can affect:

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If the functional currencies for reporting purposes are highly correlated, translation exposure is magnified.

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A set of currency cash inflows is more volatile if the correlations are low.

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Exhibit 10-2 Volusia, Inc. is a U.S.-based exporting firm that expects to receive payments denominated in both euros and Canadian dollars in one month. Based on today's spot rates, the dollar value of the funds to be received is estimated at $500,000 for the euros and $300,000 for the Canadian dollars. Based on data for the last fiFty months, Volusia estimates the standard deviation of monthly percentage changes to be 8 percent for the euro and 3 percent for the Canadian dollar. The correlation coefficient between the euro and the Canadian dollar is 0.30. -Refer to Exhibit 10-2. What is the portfolio standard deviation?​

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Assume that exchange rate movements were unusually stable in a recent period (but will not continue to be so stable in the future) that was used to derive the estimated maximum expected loss based on the VaR method. The estimated expected loss derived using VaR based on that recent period will likely overestimate the actual maximum expected loss in the future.

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A purely domestic firm is never exposed to exchange rate fluctuations.

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____ is (are) not a determinant of translation exposure.

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A high correlation between two currencies would be desirable for achieving low exchange rate risk if one is an inflow currency and the other is an outflow currency.

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A reduction in hedging will probably reduce transaction exposure.

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Assume a regression model in which the dependent variable is the firm's stock price percentage change, and the independent variable is the percentage change in the foreign currency. The coefficient is negative. This implies that the company's stock price increases if the foreign currency appreciates.

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Diz Co. is a U.S.-based MNC with net cash inflows of euros and net cash inflows of Swiss francs. These two currencies are highly correlated in their movements against the dollar. Yanta Co. is a U.S.-based MNC that has the same level of net cash flows in these currencies as Diz Co. except that its euros represent net cash outflows. Which firm has a higher exposure to exchange rate risk?

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Purely domestic firms are never affected by economic exposure.

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