Exam 18: Forward Exchange and International Financial Investment

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An unhedged international investment has a speculative element to it, and it is called a covered international investment.

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Suppose the interest rate on 6-month treasury bills is 7 percent per year in the United Kingdom and 4 percent per year in the United States. Also, today's spot exchange price of the pound is $2.00 while the 6-month forward exchange price of the pound is $1.98. Consider the expected future spot rate of pounds is $2.04. By investing in U.K. treasury bills rather than U.S. treasury bills, and NOT covering exchange-rate risk, the approximate extra return earned by U.S. investors for 6 months will be:

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When would a currency speculator buy a put option and when would it be worth exercising the option? What are some advantages and disadvantages of currency options compared to forward exchange contracts?

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In a currency swap two parties agree to exchange flows of different bonds during a specified time period.

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For an investor who starts with dollars and wants to end up with dollars in the future, which of the following choices is an example that includes hedging?

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If Canada has a current 90 day forward exchange rate value for its currency that is above the current spot exchange rate value of its currency, then the Canadian 90-day interest rate is relatively high.

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If the covered interest differential is zero, then:

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An import-export business that finds itself in a "short" foreign-currency position risks a financial loss if:

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Assume that the three-month forward exchange rate is $2.00/£ and a speculator believes that the spot rate in three months will be $2.05/£. How can this person speculate in the forward market? Also assume that the speculator is willing to take a position of about $20 million or £10 million. How much will the speculator earn if he or she is correct?

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For an investor who starts with dollars and wants to end up with dollars in the future, which of the following choices is an example of an uncovered international investment?

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Empirical studies suggest that, during normal times in the past two decades, covered interest rate parity applies almost perfectly to Eurocurrency markets for major currencies.

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Consider the case of a U.S. investor holding dollars and deciding whether to invest in Japanese treasury bills or in U.S. treasury bills. Assume that the investor wants to end up holding dollars. What are the three methods available to this investor to turn present dollars into future dollars? In your answer present an equation that shows the return per dollar invested under each method. Which of these methods is the riskiest and why?

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Suppose that the dollar-yen spot exchange rate is $0.05/¥ and the 90-day forward exchange rate is $0.06/¥. Assuming that covered interest parity holds, are Japanese interest rates higher or lower than U.S. interest rates? Explain why.

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Using actual market exchange rates and comparable short-term interest rates for the major currencies:

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Which of the following financial instruments provides a buyer the right (but not the obligation) to purchase or sell a fixed amount of currency at a prearranged price, within a few days to a few years?

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Consider the interaction between U.S. dollars and U.K. pounds. When the forward premium on the dollar is zero, it means:

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What is the empirical evidence on the holding of the covered and uncovered interest rate parity? How is the evidence different after the relaxation of capital controls in the early 1980s?

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If the spot price of the euro is $1.10 per euro and the 30-day forward rate is $1.00 per euro, and you believe that the spot rate in 30 days will be $1.05 per euro, then you can try to maximize speculative gains by:

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The interest rate is 4% in the U.K. and 3% in the U.S. for 90 days. The current spot rate is $2.00/£ and the forward rate is $1.96/£. If a U.S. based investor expects the spot rate to remain at $2.00/£ in 90 days, the expected uncovered interest rate differential would have to be _____ in favor of the _____ investment.

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Forward exchange contracts are used for hedging but not for speculating.

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