Exam 20: Decision Making

Blossom's Flowers purchases roses for sale for Valentine's Day.The roses are purchased for $10 a dozen and are sold for $20 a dozen.Any roses not sold on Valentine's Day can be sold for $5 per dozen.The owner will purchase 1 of 3 amounts of roses for Valentine's Day: 100,200,or 400 dozen roses.Given 0.2,0.4,and 0.4 are the probabilities for the sale of 100,200,or 400 dozen roses,respectively,then the EVPI for buying roses is

SCENARIO 20-3 The following information is from 2 investment opportunities. -Referring to Scenario 20-3,which investment has the optimal return to risk ratio?

A medical doctor is involved in a $1 million malpractice suit.He can either settle out of court for $250,000 or go to court.If he goes to court and loses,he must pay $825,000 plus $175,000 in court costs.If he wins in court the plaintiffs pay the court costs.Identify the actions of this decision-making problem.

SCENARIO 20-1 The following payoff table shows profits associated with a set of 3 alternatives under 2 possible states of nature. -Referring to Scenario 20-1,the opportunity loss for A2 when S1 occurs is

SCENARIO 20-1 The following payoff table shows profits associated with a set of 3 alternatives under 2 possible states of nature. -Referring to Scenario 20-1,if the probability of S1 is 0.5,then the expected monetary value (EMV )for A2 is

Blossom's Flowers purchases roses for sale for Valentine's Day.The roses are purchased for $10 a dozen and are sold for $20 a dozen.Any roses not sold on Valentine's Day can be sold for $5 per dozen.The owner will purchase 1 of 3 amounts of roses for Valentine's Day: 100,200,or 400 dozen roses.The payoff for buying 200 dozen roses and selling 100 dozen roses at the full price is

Blossom's Flowers purchases roses for sale for Valentine's Day.The roses are purchased for $10 a dozen and are sold for $20 a dozen.Any roses not sold on Valentine's Day can be sold for $5 per dozen.The owner will purchase 1 of 3 amounts of roses for Valentine's Day: 100,200,or 400 dozen roses.Given 0.2,0.4,and 0.4 are the probabilities for the sale of 100,200,or 400 dozen roses,respectively,then the optimal alternative using EMV for selling roses is to buy _____ dozen roses.

SCENARIO 20-2 The following payoff matrix is given in dollars. Suppose the probability of Event 1 is 0.5 and Event 2 is 0.5. -Referring to Scenario 20-2,the EVPI is

SCENARIO 20-2 The following payoff matrix is given in dollars. Suppose the probability of Event 1 is 0.5 and Event 2 is 0.5. -Referring to Scenario 20-2,what is the action with the preferable coefficient of variation?

Blossom's Flowers purchases roses for sale for Valentine's Day.The roses are purchased for $10 a dozen and are sold for $20 a dozen.Any roses not sold on Valentine's Day can be sold for $5 per dozen.The owner will purchase 1 of 3 amounts of roses for Valentine's Day: 100,200,or 400 dozen roses.The opportunity loss for buying 200 dozen roses and selling 100 dozen roses at the full price is

SCENARIO 20-6 A student wanted to find out the optimal strategy to study for a Business Statistics exam with scores out of 100 possible points.He constructed the following payoff table based on the mean amount of time he needed to study every week for the course and the degree of difficulty of the exam.From the information that he gathered from students who had taken the course,he concluded that there was a 40% probability that the exam would be easy. -Referring to Scenario 20-6,the optimal strategy using the maximax criterion is to study 16 hours per week on average for the exam.

SCENARIO 20-5 The following payoff table shows profits associated with a set of 2 alternatives under 3 possible events. Suppose that the probability of Event 1 is 0.2,Event 2 is 0.5,and Event 3 is 0.3. -Referring to Scenario 20-5,what is the EOL for Action A?

SCENARIO 20-2 The following payoff matrix is given in dollars. Suppose the probability of Event 1 is 0.5 and Event 2 is 0.5. -Referring to Scenario 20-2,the EMV for Action A is

Blossom's Flowers purchases roses for sale for Valentine's Day.The roses are purchased for $10 a dozen and are sold for $20 a dozen.Any roses not sold on Valentine's Day can be sold for $5 per dozen.The owner will purchase 1 of 3 amounts of roses for Valentine's Day: 100,200,or 400 dozen roses.Given 0.2,0.4,and 0.4 are the probabilities for the sale of 100,200,or 400 dozen roses,respectively,then the EOL for buying 200 dozen roses is

SCENARIO 20-2 The following payoff matrix is given in dollars. Suppose the probability of Event 1 is 0.5 and Event 2 is 0.5. -Referring to Scenario 20-2,what is the action with the preferable return to risk ratio?

The risk- _____ curve represents the expected monetary value approach.

SCENARIO 20-2 The following payoff matrix is given in dollars. Suppose the probability of Event 1 is 0.5 and Event 2 is 0.5. -Referring to Scenario 20-2,the expected profit under certainty (EPUC )is

SCENARIO 20-5 The following payoff table shows profits associated with a set of 2 alternatives under 3 possible events. Suppose that the probability of Event 1 is 0.2,Event 2 is 0.5,and Event 3 is 0.3. -Referring to Scenario 20-5,what is the EMV for Action B?

The difference between expected payoff under certainty and expected value of the best act without certainty is the:

SCENARIO 20-5 The following payoff table shows profits associated with a set of 2 alternatives under 3 possible events. Suppose that the probability of Event 1 is 0.2,Event 2 is 0.5,and Event 3 is 0.3. -Referring to Scenario 20-5,what is the coefficient of variation for Action A?