Exam 6: Probability
Exam 1: What Is Statistics43 Questions
Exam 2: Graphical Descriptive Techniques I93 Questions
Exam 3: Graphical Descriptive Techniques II183 Questions
Exam 4: Numerical Descriptive Techniques274 Questions
Exam 5: Data Collection and Sampling82 Questions
Exam 6: Probability234 Questions
Exam 7: Random Variables and Discrete Probability Distributions274 Questions
Exam 8: Continuous Probability Distributions215 Questions
Exam 9: Sampling Distributions153 Questions
Exam 10: Introduction to Estimation152 Questions
Exam 11: Introduction to Hypothesis Testing182 Questions
Exam 12: Inference About a Population147 Questions
Exam 13: Inference About Comparing Two Populations170 Questions
Exam 14: Analysis of Variance153 Questions
Exam 15: Chi-Squared Tests175 Questions
Exam 16: Simple Linear Regression and Correlation298 Questions
Exam 17: Multiple Regression157 Questions
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Certification Test
A standard certification test was given at three locations.1,000 candidates took the test at location A, 600 candidates at location B, and 400 candidates at location C.The percentages of candidates from locations A, B, and C who passed the test were 70%, 68%, and 77%, respectively.One candidate is selected at random from among those who took the test.
-{Certification Test Narrative} What is the probability that the selected candidate took the test at location C and failed?
(Short Answer)
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Suppose P(A) = 0.30, P(B) = 0.50, and P(B|A) = 0.60.
a.
Find P(A and B).
b.
Find P(A or B).
c.
Find P(A|B).
(Short Answer)
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If the two events are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, what is the probability that one or the other occurs?
(Multiple Choice)
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Initial estimates of the probabilities of events are known as:
(Multiple Choice)
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Prior probability of an event is the probability of the event before any information affecting it is given.
(True/False)
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When A and B are mutually exclusive, P(A or B) can be found by adding P(A) and P(B).
(True/False)
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Construction Bids
A construction company has submitted bids on two separate state contracts, A and B.The company feels that it has a 60% chance of winning contract A, and a 50% chance of winning contract B.Furthermore, the company believes that it has an 80% chance of winning contract A if it wins contract B.
-{Construction Bids Narrative} What is the probability that the company will win at most one of the two contracts?
(Short Answer)
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GPA and Class
A college professor classifies his students according to their grade point average (GPA) and their class rank.GPA is on a 0.0-4.0 scale, and class rank is defined as the under class (freshmen and sophomores) and the upper class (juniors and seniors).One student is selected at random.
-{GPA and Class Narrative} What is the probability that the student is in the lower class and has GPA over 3.0?
(Short Answer)
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Messenger Service
Three messenger services deliver to a small town in Oregon.Service A has 60% of all the scheduled deliveries, service B has 30%, and service C has the remaining 10%.Their on-time rates are 80%, 60%, and 40% respectively.Define event O as a service delivers a package on time.
-{Messenger Service Narrative} Calculate P(A and O).
(Essay)
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Messenger Service
Three messenger services deliver to a small town in Oregon.Service A has 60% of all the scheduled deliveries, service B has 30%, and service C has the remaining 10%.Their on-time rates are 80%, 60%, and 40% respectively.Define event O as a service delivers a package on time.
-{Messenger Service Narrative} If a package was delivered 40 minutes late, what is the probability that it was service B?
(Essay)
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If A and B are ____________________ then the probability of the union of A and B is the sum of their individual probabilities.
(Short Answer)
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College Professorship
A Ph.D.graduate has applied for a job with two colleges: A and B.The graduate feels that she has a 60% chance of receiving an offer from college A and a 50% chance of receiving an offer from college B.If she receives an offer from college B, she believes that she has an 80% chance of receiving an offer from college A.Let A = receiving an offer from college A, and let B = receiving an offer from college B.
-{College Professorship Narrative} If she receives an offer from college B, what is the probability that she will not receive an offer from college A?
(Short Answer)
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An individual outcome of a sample space is called a(n) ____________________ event.
(Short Answer)
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If two events are complements, their probabilities sum to ____________________.
(Short Answer)
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If P(A) = 0.65, P(B) = 0.58, and P(A and B) = 0.76, then P(A or B) is:
(Multiple Choice)
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Messenger Service
Three messenger services deliver to a small town in Oregon.Service A has 60% of all the scheduled deliveries, service B has 30%, and service C has the remaining 10%.Their on-time rates are 80%, 60%, and 40% respectively.Define event O as a service delivers a package on time.
-{Messenger Service Narrative} If a package was delivered on time, what is the probability that it was service A?
(Essay)
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Club Members
A survey of a club's members indicates that 50% own a home, 80% own a car, and 90% of the homeowners who subscribe also own a car.
-{Club Members Narrative} What is the probability that a subscriber owns both a car and a house?
(Short Answer)
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Two events A and B are said to be independent if P(A|B) = P(B|A).
(True/False)
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If A and B are independent events with P(A) = 0.60 and P(A|B) = 0.60, then P(B) is:
(Multiple Choice)
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The relative frequency approach to probability uses long term relative frequencies, often based on past data.
(True/False)
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