Exam 14: Sovereign Risk

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A lending decision to a firm in a foreign country should involve both a credit risk analysis and a sovereign risk analysis.

(True/False)
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The statistical results of the country risk analysis models

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The following is an example of a credit scoring model to estimate the probability of debt rescheduling for country I: Pi= 0.25DSRi+ 0.17IRi- 0.03 INVRi+ 0.84VAREXi+ 0.93 MGi Where Pi is the probability of rescheduling country I's debt; DSR is the country's total debt service ratio; IR is the country's import ratio; INVR is the country's investment ratio; VAREX is the country's variance of export revenue; and MG is the country's rate of growth of the domestic money supply. According to this credit scoring model, the variable that has the highest positive impact on the probability of rescheduling is

(Multiple Choice)
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Which of the following describes debt rescheduling?

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What is the approximate yield on a 20-year 10 percent annual coupon less developed country (LDC) bond selling at 25 cents on the dollar? (Choose the closest answer)

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During 2014, Argentina defaulted on government debt and also passed legislation that led to default on $30 billion of corporate debt owed to foreign creditors.

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Rescheduling may cause the borrower to lose future borrowing opportunities for investment projects.

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Debt rescheduling is considered a rare form of sovereign risk event.

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Export revenue may be highly variable due to the quantity of exports and the prices that may be realized on the exported products.

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One cost of rescheduling for a lender is the potential placement of the lender on a regulatory watch or problem list.

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Prior to World War II, most international debt was in the form of bank loans.

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In international finance, the investment ratio measures the amount of real investment relative to the gross national product of the country.

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A positive relationship is considered to exist between domestic money supply growth and the probability of rescheduling debt.

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Which of the following is true of Brady bonds?

(Multiple Choice)
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When making a loan decision to a foreign party, an FI should consider sovereign risk above credit risk.

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Performing loans in the LDC debt market are loans on which the foreign country is making promised payments.

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Which of the following statements regarding total debt service ratio (TDSR) are untrue?

(Multiple Choice)
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Lenders may find it beneficial to reschedule sovereign country debt

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Investors are willing to purchase rescheduled less developed country (LDC) and emerging market (EM) debt because of

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In the LCD and EM debt markets, sovereign bonds must be collateralized by domestically-issued government bonds.

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