Exam 14: Sovereign Risk

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If the credit risk of a foreign borrower is good, then the sovereign country risk is irrelevant.

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Buyers of LDC debt in secondary markets typically are large FIs who are willing to accept write-downs of loans on their balance sheets.

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Making a lending decision to a party residing in a foreign country is a two-step decision.What are the two steps involved in such a decision?

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The relationship of this variable with the probability of rescheduling is often disputed.

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Commodity price and quantity risk is measured by which of the following variables in the credit scoring model to estimate sovereign country risk exposure?

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Rescheduling loans is easier than renegotiating payments on bonds because the same FIs typically form loan syndicates that create cohesiveness in negotiations.

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Sovereign country risk exposure is a result of the FI's inability to be fully diversified.

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Both the total debt service ratio and the import ratio typically have low systematic risk elements in a country risk analysis (CRA).

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FIs that lend to foreign entities often need to make provisions to their loan loss reserves.

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The allocation of country resources between present and future consumption is measured by which of the following variables of the credit scoring model of sovereign country risk exposure?

(Multiple Choice)
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In international finance, the variance of export revenue is based solely on the quantity of product available for export.

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Which of the following are normally traded at very deep discounts from 100 percent?

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The advantage to the lender (purchaser) of a Brady bond versus a loan to a foreign country is that U.S.Treasury bonds serve as collateral for Brady bonds.

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Each of the variables in the credit scoring model of sovereign country risk

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Which of the following is true of sovereign bonds?

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The following is an example of a credit scoring model to estimate the probability of debt rescheduling: Pi= 0.25DSRi + 0.17IRi − 0.03 INVRi + 0.84VAREXi + 0.93 MGi Where Pi is the probability of rescheduling country I's debt; DSR is the country's total debt service ratio; IR is the country's import ratio; INVR is the country's investment ratio; VAREX is the country's variance of export revenue; and MG is the country's rate of growth of the domestic money supply. Two countries are identical in all respects except that country A's rate of growth of the domestic money supply (MG) is 33 percent, while country B's MG is 25 percent, and country A's variance of export revenue (VAREX) is 3.75 percent, while country B's VAREX is 10 percent.Based only on these two variables, which country possesses the most sovereign country risk?

(Multiple Choice)
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International bond finance is more likely to be rescheduled than international loan finance because of the relatively fewer lenders involved with a loan finance issue.

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The following is an example of a credit scoring model to estimate the probability of debt rescheduling for country I: Pi= 0.25DSRi+ 0.17IRi- 0.03 INVRi+ 0.84VAREXi+ 0.93 MGi Where Pi is the probability of rescheduling country I's debt; DSR is the country's total debt service ratio; IR is the country's import ratio; INVR is the country's investment ratio; VAREX is the country's variance of export revenue; and MG is the country's rate of growth of the domestic money supply. What is an important determinant of rescheduling probability if inflation is a prime concern?

(Multiple Choice)
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In exchange for the loss of some present value of the interest and principal on a loan after a rescheduling, the lender avoids the permanent loss that would result from a default.

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The Economist Intelligence Unit is a rating of sovereign risk based on economic and political risk within a country.

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