Exam 14: Sovereign Risk

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Which of the following variables can have a negative impact on the probability of rescheduling in the credit scoring model to estimate sovereign country risk exposure?

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Which of the following is a reason why an international loan rather than a bond financing makes rescheduling more likely?

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Which of the following is an attempt to measure the absence of governmental constraint on the production, consumption, and distribution of goods?

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Which of the following describes debt moratoria?

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Which of the following makes international loan rescheduling more likely than international bond rescheduling?

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Euromoney Country Risk Scores (ECR) is an online community of economic and political experts that provide real time scores in 15 categories that relate to financial, geographic, and racial risk.

(True/False)
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In the statistical modeling of the country risk analysis, the investment ratio is considered to have a negative impact on the probability of rescheduling because the larger expenditures on investment infrastructure leaves less funds for debt payment.

(True/False)
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Multiyear restructuring agreements (MYRAs) involves the rescheduling of debt payments of foreign governments.

(True/False)
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By rescheduling its debt, a borrower raises the present value of its future payments in hard currencies.

(True/False)
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The larger the import ratio of a country; the higher is the probability that the country will have to schedule its debt payments.

(True/False)
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International loan contracts that contain cross-default provisions allow the country to select specific lenders for special default treatment.

(True/False)
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Lenders may find it costly to reschedule non-accruing sovereign country debt because

(Multiple Choice)
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The total debt service ratio of a country should be negatively related to the probability of rescheduling.

(True/False)
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The Institutional Investor Index is based on

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Lenders often are willing to reschedule debt payments of foreign corporations to avoid forcing the borrower into outright bankruptcy.

(True/False)
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The following is an example of a credit scoring model to estimate the probability of debt rescheduling for country I: Pi= 0.25DSRi+ 0.17IRi- 0.03 INVRi+ 0.84VAREXi+ 0.93 MGi Where Pi is the probability of rescheduling country I's debt; DSR is the country's total debt service ratio; IR is the country's import ratio; INVR is the country's investment ratio; VAREX is the country's variance of export revenue; and MG is the country's rate of growth of the domestic money supply. According to this model, An FI would be most likely to lend to a country with

(Multiple Choice)
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Under the doctrine of sovereign immunity, creditors cannot force repayment of the debt.

(True/False)
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In the LCD and EM debt markets, sovereign bonds have historically been issued in foreign currencies.

(True/False)
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From the perspective of the lending FI, the risk of a well-diversified portfolio of loans should be less than weighted average risk of the individual loans.

(True/False)
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One advantage of swapping a sovereign loan for a bond is the capability to sell the bond in the secondary market.

(True/False)
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