Exam 8: Economic and Industry Analysis

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Switching from one industry group to another over the course of a business cycle is known as a rotation strategy.

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The way to reduce the rivalry between existing competitors in an industry is to reduce the barrier to entry to the industry.

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Switching industry groups over the course of a business cycle is known as a cyclical strategy.

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The relationship between an economic series such as disposable personal income and retail sales is usually stronger in an industry that has become more specialized.

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Which of the following industries do not have a strong, consistent industry component?

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Which of the following statements is not true?

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Exhibit 8-1 USE THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION FOR THE NEXT PROBLEM(S) Assume that you are an analyst for the Canadian auto parts industry. Consider the following information that you propose to use to obtain an estimate of year 2010 EPS for the Canadian auto parts industry Year 2009 Estimated Year 2010 Personal consumption expenditures \ 6,800 billion Personal consumption expenditures growth 1.5\% Industry Sales per share \ 525 Industry Operating profit margin 15\% Industry Depreciation/Fixed Assets 8.25\% Industry Fixed asset turnover 3 Interest rate 6\% Industry Total asset turnover 1.2 Industry Debt/Total assets 45\% Industry Tax rate 36\% In addition a regression analysis indicates the following relationship between growth in industry sales per share and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) growth is %D Sales per share = 0.02 + 1.5(%D PCE) -Refer to Exhibit 8-1. Calculate personal consumption expenditures for the year 2010.

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If the economic outlook was such that you expected corporate earnings to decline, consumers have excessive levels of debt, and there is significant overcapacity in the technology sector, then an appropriate asset allocation policy would be to:

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Which of the following statements is false?

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Which of the following is not considered a structural influence on the economy and industry?

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Which of the following statements regarding global portfolio is true?

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Risk measures for different industries remain fairly constant over time so historical risk analysis can be useful when estimating future risk.

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Exhibit 8-1 USE THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION FOR THE NEXT PROBLEM(S) Assume that you are an analyst for the Canadian auto parts industry. Consider the following information that you propose to use to obtain an estimate of year 2010 EPS for the Canadian auto parts industry Year 2009 Estimated Year 2010 Personal consumption expenditures \ 6,800 billion Personal consumption expenditures growth 1.5\% Industry Sales per share \ 525 Industry Operating profit margin 15\% Industry Depreciation/Fixed Assets 8.25\% Industry Fixed asset turnover 3 Interest rate 6\% Industry Total asset turnover 1.2 Industry Debt/Total assets 45\% Industry Tax rate 36\% In addition a regression analysis indicates the following relationship between growth in industry sales per share and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) growth is %D Sales per share = 0.02 + 1.5(%D PCE) -Refer to Exhibit 8-1. Estimate the industry growth rate in sales per share.

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The rates of returns for firms within an industry vary which indicates that company analysis is necessary after industry analysis.

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