Exam 8: Economic and Industry Analysis

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Which of the following are not typically considered a threat of new entrants to an industry?

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Structural changes occur when the economy undergoes a major organizational change or how it functions.

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The earnings multiplier approach would be useful to predict the performance of the stock market.

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Country risk is the uncertainty of earnings due to changes in exchange rates faced by firms in this industry that sell outside the United States.

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During which stage of the industrial life cycle is the product or service recognized as viable and the demand substantial?

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What might cause an industry's sales to decline?

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While there is substantial dispersion in industry risk over periods of time, there is consistency in the industry risk during a period of time.

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What have studies found when analyzing risk levels among industries?

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Exhibit 8-1 USE THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION FOR THE NEXT PROBLEM(S) Assume that you are an analyst for the Canadian auto parts industry. Consider the following information that you propose to use to obtain an estimate of year 2010 EPS for the Canadian auto parts industry Year 2009 Estimated Year 2010 Personal consumption expenditures \ 6,800 billion Personal consumption expenditures growth 1.5\% Industry Sales per share \ 525 Industry Operating profit margin 15\% Industry Depreciation/Fixed Assets 8.25\% Industry Fixed asset turnover 3 Interest rate 6\% Industry Total asset turnover 1.2 Industry Debt/Total assets 45\% Industry Tax rate 36\% In addition a regression analysis indicates the following relationship between growth in industry sales per share and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) growth is %D Sales per share = 0.02 + 1.5(%D PCE) -Refer to Exhibit 8-1. Calculate the industry year 2010 EBITDA per share.

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In the rapid accelerating growth stage, profit margins are typically very high.

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The capital goods industry typically outperforms other sectors during a recession.

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During a recession,

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The relationship between an economic series such as disposable personal income and industry sales is usually stronger in an industry that is more specialized.

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Which of the following is not characteristic of the "growth" phase in the industry life cycle?

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Which of the following is not a stage in the industrial life cycle?

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Cyclical industries are attractive investments during the early stages of an economic recovery.

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Exhibit 8-1 USE THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION FOR THE NEXT PROBLEM(S) Assume that you are an analyst for the Canadian auto parts industry. Consider the following information that you propose to use to obtain an estimate of year 2010 EPS for the Canadian auto parts industry Year 2009 Estimated Year 2010 Personal consumption expenditures \ 6,800 billion Personal consumption expenditures growth 1.5\% Industry Sales per share \ 525 Industry Operating profit margin 15\% Industry Depreciation/Fixed Assets 8.25\% Industry Fixed asset turnover 3 Interest rate 6\% Industry Total asset turnover 1.2 Industry Debt/Total assets 45\% Industry Tax rate 36\% In addition a regression analysis indicates the following relationship between growth in industry sales per share and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) growth is %D Sales per share = 0.02 + 1.5(%D PCE) -Refer to Exhibit 8-1. Estimate the industry sales per share for the year 2010.

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During which industry life cycle stage do firms experience low rates of return on capital and investors begin to seek alternative uses of capital?

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Exhibit 8-1 USE THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION FOR THE NEXT PROBLEM(S) Assume that you are an analyst for the Canadian auto parts industry. Consider the following information that you propose to use to obtain an estimate of year 2010 EPS for the Canadian auto parts industry Year 2009 Estimated Year 2010 Personal consumption expenditures \ 6,800 billion Personal consumption expenditures growth 1.5\% Industry Sales per share \ 525 Industry Operating profit margin 15\% Industry Depreciation/Fixed Assets 8.25\% Industry Fixed asset turnover 3 Interest rate 6\% Industry Total asset turnover 1.2 Industry Debt/Total assets 45\% Industry Tax rate 36\% In addition a regression analysis indicates the following relationship between growth in industry sales per share and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) growth is %D Sales per share = 0.02 + 1.5(%D PCE) -Refer to Exhibit 8-1. Calculate the industry EBT per share for the year 2010.

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Toward the business cycle peak

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