Exam 10: Forecasting Financial Statements

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Common-size financial statements recast each statement item as: 

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Which of the following statements does not apply to preventing "garbage in,garbage out" when implementing a forecasting game plan?

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The formula for forecasting inventory is ____________ /365 X.

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All of the following statements are true regarding ratios and forecasts except:

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 Bargains. Inc, manufactures and markets toys. Selected income statement data from 2010 and 2009\text { Bargains. Inc, manufactures and markets toys. Selected income statement data from } 2010 \text { and } 2009  appear below: \text { appear below: } Bargains, Inc. Selected Income Statement data Fiscal year end (amounts in thousands of dollars) Net sales Cost of Goods Sold Gross profit 12/31/2010 12/31/2009 \ 5,320,185 \ 4,980,000 -3,520,415 -3,340,290 \ 1,799,770 \ 1,369,710 998,934 Required: a.An analyst can sometimes estimate the variable cost as a percentage of sales for a particular cost by dividing the amount of the change in the cost item between two years by the amount of the change in sales for those two years.The analyst can then multiply the variable cost percentage times sales to determine the total variable cost.Subtracting the variable cost yields the fixed cost for that particular item.Follow this procedure to determine the cost structure for costs of goods sold for Bargains,Inc. b.Bargains,Inc.projects sales to grow at the following percentages in future years: 2011,10percent; 2012,12 percent; 2013,16 percent.Using this information,project sales,cost of goods sold and gross profit for Bargains,Inc.for 2011 to 2013.

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Firms that have differentiated ___________________________________ for its products may have a greater potential to increase prices.

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Saunders Corporation manufactures consumer electronics products.Selected income statement data for 2009 and 2010 follow (amounts in millions of dollars): Saunders Corporation (amounts in millions of dollars) Sales 8,296 8,871 Cost of Goods Sold (5,890) (6,290) Selling and Administrative Expenses (1,788) (1,714) Operating Income before Income Taxes 618 867 Required a.The analyst can sometimes estimate the variable cost as a percentage of sales for a particular cost (for example,cost of goods sold)by dividing the amount of the change in the cost item between two years by the amount of the change in sales for those two years.The analyst can then multiply total sales by the variable-cost percentage to determine the total variable cost.Subtracting the variable cost from the total cost yields the fixed cost component for that particular cost item.Follow this procedure to determine the cost structure (fixed cost plus variable cost as a percentage of sales)for cost of goods sold for Saunders. b.Repeat requirement a.for selling and administrative expenses. c.Saunders Corporation discloses that it expects sales to grow at the following percentages in future years: Year 1,12 percent; Year 2,10 percent; Year 3,8 percent; Year 4,6 percent.Project sales,cost of goods sold,selling and administrative expenses,and operating income before income taxes for Saunders for Year 1 to Year 4 using the cost structure amounts derived in requirements a.and b. d.Compute the ratio of operating income before income taxes to sales for Year 1 through Year 4. e.Interpret the changes in the ratio computed in requirement d.in light of the expected changes in sales.

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Glad Rags,Inc.sells women's clothes.Provided below is selected financial statement information: Glad Rags, Inc. Selected Financial Statement data Fiscal year end (amounts in thousands of dollars) Net sales Cost of Goods Sold Gross profit Inventory 2010 2009 \ 47,895 \ 42,589 (35,952) (32,588) \ 11,943 \ 10,001 \ 5,548 \ 4,948 Required: a.Compute the inventory turnover ratio for 2010. b.Clothes,Inc.projects that sales will grow at a compound rate of 7% per year for years 2011-2013 and that the cost of goods sold to sales percentage will equal that realized in 2010.Compute the projected implied level of inventory at the end of 2011 to 2013.

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If a company has very low operating leverage (i.e.,a low proportion of fixed costs in the cost structure)and no changes are expected in operations:

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If a firm competes in a capital-intensive industry with excess capacity,all of the following are true except:

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Financial statement forecasts should rely on _________________________ across financial statements.

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When projecting ____________________,the analyst should consider economy-wide factors such as the expected rate of general price inflation in the economy.

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Financial statement forecasts rely on additivity within financial statements and articulation across financial statements.Given this information sales growth forecasts will most likely affect growth in:

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Based on the following statement from the text-"to develop forecasts of individual operating assets and liabilities,you must first determine the underlying operating activities that drive them"-explain what those underlying activities are.

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For some types of assets,such as accounts receivable,asset growth typically ____________________ future sales growth.

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The following information about Douglas Corp.'s Accounts Receivable and Sales are presented below: Year 2012-Beginning Balance of A/R=$791M \mathrm{A} / \mathrm{R}=\$ 791 \mathrm{M} Year 2012 -Ending Balance of A/R=$807M \mathrm{A} / \mathrm{R}=\$ 807 \mathrm{M} Year 2012 - Sales =$3,002M =\$ 3,002 \mathrm{M} Assumptions: Sales growth will be equal to 6% 6 \% per year A/R \mathrm{A} / \mathrm{R} turnover will stay constant throughout the forecast period Required: a.Using this information,forecast Douglas Corp.'s the growth in Accounts Receivable for years 2013-2017. b.What problem does a constant A/R turnover assumption cause? c.Provide a solution to the problem caused by a constant A/R turnover assumption.

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Card Sharks, Inc. Card Sharks, Inc.sells baseball cards and other memorabilia.The company tries to maintain a cash balance equivalent to approximately 30 days of sales.Sales in 2011 amounted to $352,412 and the company expects growth in 2012 of 30% and in 2013 of 35%. -Given the information provided about Card Sharks,what is the company's 2013 projected cash balance?

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The objective of forecasting is to develop:

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If a firm operates at less than full capacity,then price _______________________ are not likely

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For some types of assets,such as plant,property and equipment,asset growth typically ____________________ future sales growth.

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