Exam 9: Risk Analysis, Real Options, and Capital Budgeting

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In scenario analysis,the expected case is

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Assume a project has estimated fixed costs of $61,200,variable costs per unit of $84.29,a selling price of $199,and an initial cost of $402,000 for fixed assets.Depreciation is straight-line to zero over the project's 4-year life.The tax rate is 30 percent,and the discount rate is 12 percent.What is the financial breakeven point?

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Roy is analyzing a 5-year project with an initial cost of $210,000,a required return of 16 percent,and a probability of success of 62 percent.If the project fails,it will generate an annual after-tax cash flow of -$48,500.If the project succeeds,the annual after-tax cash flow will be $79,000.He has further determined that if the project fails,he will shut it down after the first year and lose all of his original investment.If,however,the project is a success,he can expand it with no additional investment and increase the after-tax cash flow to $154,000 a year for Years 2-5.At the end of Year 5,the project would be terminated and have no salvage value.What is the net present value of this project at Time 0?

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Rita's Flowers is considering a 3-year project with a discount rate of 12 percent,a tax rate of 34 percent,and an initial cost of $12,000 for fixed assets.The selling price is estimated at $22 a unit based on variable costs per unit of $6.20 and fixed costs of $2,280.Depreciation is straight-line to zero over 3 years.What is the accounting breakeven point?

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Which one of the following statements concerning variable costs is correct?

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Arvin's is analyzing a project with an initial cost of $212,000 that would be depreciated straight-line to zero over the project's 3-year life.Estimates include fixed costs of $48,280,variable costs per unit of $13.12,and a selling price of $26.50 per unit.The discount rate is set at 16 percent with a tax rate of 35 percent.What is the financial breakeven point?

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Wilson's Antiques is considering a project that has an initial cost today of $14,000.The project has a life of 2 years with cash inflows of $9,500 a year.Should Wilson's decide to wait 2 years to commence this project,the initial cost will increase by 3 percent and the cash inflows will increase to $11,000 a year.What is the value of the option to wait if the applicable discount rate is 12 percent?

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New Foods is analyzing a proposed project with expected sales of 8,700 units,±4 percent.The expected variable cost per unit is $26 and the expected fixed costs are $49,000.Cost estimates are considered accurate within a range of ±1 percent.The depreciation expense is $18,300.The sale price is estimated at $52 a unit,±3 percent.If the company conducts a sensitivity analysis using a variable cost of $28,what will be the total variable cost estimate?

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Mercier's is analyzing a proposed 4-year project with expected sales of 26,500 units,±3 percent.The expected variable cost per unit is $10,and the expected fixed costs are $42,000.The fixed and variable cost estimates are considered accurate within a range of ±2 percent.The sales price is estimated at $19 a unit,±2 percent.The project requires an initial investment of $74,000 for equipment that will be depreciated using the straight-line method to zero over the project's life.The equipment can be sold for $20,000 at the end of the project.The project requires $11,200 in net working capital.The discount rate is 14 percent,and the tax rate is 35 percent.What is the earnings before interest and taxes estimate under the expected case scenario?

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William's Co.is considering spending $29,000 at Time 0 to test a new product.Depending on the test results,the firm may decide to spend $64,000 at Time 1 to start production.If the product is introduced and it is successful,it will produce after-tax cash flows of $48,000 a year for Years 2 through 4.If it is unsuccessful,there will be no cash flow in Year 1,after which the project will be terminated.There are no recovery costs at the end of Year 4.The probability of a successful test and investment is 58 percent.What is the net present value at Time 0 given a discount rate of 16 percent?

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Real options are options that

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Financial breakeven analysis is superior to accounting profit breakeven analysis because it

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Appalachian Crafts is analyzing a project with expected sales of 18,900 units,±2 percent.The expected variable cost per unit is $23 and the expected fixed costs are $52,000.Cost estimates are considered accurate within a range of ±1 percent.The depreciation expense is $18,400.The sale price is estimated at $54 a unit,±2 percent.What is the total dollar difference between the revenue using the optimistic sale price versus the expected sale price?

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Which one of these criticisms applies to net present value analysis?

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Assuming the selling price is greater than the total cost per unit,the contribution margin must increase as

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The Meat Mart has computed its fixed costs to be $.38 per pound given an average daily sales level of 500 pounds.It charges $5.59 a pound for top-grade ground beef.The variable cost per pound is $2.64.The tax rate is 34 percent.The accounting profit breakeven point is 211.5 pounds per day.What is the amount of the depreciation expense?

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At a production level of 5,150 units,a project has total cash costs of $130,789.The variable cost per unit is $11.07,and the depreciation is $8,600.What is the amount of the total fixed costs?

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A project has a contribution margin of $13.27,projected fixed costs of $78,900,projected variable cost per unit of $9,and a projected financial breakeven point of 16,230 units.The depreciation expense is $36,200,and the tax rate is 35 percent.What is the operating cash flow at this level of output?

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Which one of these would increase the value of a single-family housing development project if that development were delayed?

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All else constant,as the variable cost per unit increases,the

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