Exam 18: The Lognormal Distribution

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Given a mean of -7.8 and a standard deviation of 16 from a normally distributed sample,what is the probability of an observation being below 12.0?

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A stock is valued at $28.00.The annual expected return is 9.0% and the standard deviation of annualized returns is 19.0%.If the stock is lognormally distributed,what is the price of the stock given a one standard deviation move up after 4 years?

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What is the area under the standard normal distribution curve and is less than 0.654?

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Given a mean of 4.5 and a standard deviation of 12 from a sample of variables,what is the equivalent draw from a standard normal distribution for 6.0?

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Given a mean of 45 and a standard deviation of 32 from a normally distributed sample,what is the probability of an observation being between 35 and 75?

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What assumption is made in the Black-Scholes model concerning volatility?

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Why might normally distributed returns appear non-normal?

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What is the probability that a number drawn from the standard normal distribution will NOT be between -1 and 1?

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What is the probability that a number drawn from the standard normal distribution will be between -0.60 and 0.45?

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Why do we assume a lognormal distribution in option pricing? Ask the class to explain the pluses and minuses to this assumption.Once the downfalls are established,probe students to find out if a better alternative exists.

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For a stock price that was initially $55.00,what is the price after 4 years if the continuously compounded returns for these 4 years are 4.5%,6.2%,8.9%,-3.2%?

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A stock is valued at $55.00.The annual expected return is 12.0% and the standard deviation of annualized returns is 22.0%.If the stock is lognormally distributed,what is the expected price after 3 years?

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A stock is valued at $55.00.The annual expected return is 12.0% and the standard deviation of annualized returns is 22.0%.If the stock is lognormally distributed,what is the price of the stock given a one standard deviation move up after 3 years?

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Given a mean of -4.3 and a standard deviation of 26,what is the equivalent draw from a normal distribution for a standard normal sample variable of 0.67?

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How are partial expectation prices converted to conditional expectation prices?

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A stock is valued at $55.00.The annual expected return is 12.0% and the standard deviation of annualized returns is 22.0%.If the stock is lognormally distributed,what is the expected median stock price after 3 years?

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A stock is valued at $28.00.The annual expected return is 9.0% and the standard deviation of annualized returns is 19.0%.If the stock is lognormally distributed,what is the expected median stock price after 4 years?

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A stock is valued at $28.00.The annual expected return is 9.0% and the standard deviation of annualized returns is 19.0%.If the stock is lognormally distributed,what is the expected price after 4 years?

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Give a very brief definition of conditional expected stock price.

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In a lognormal model of stock price movement,describe the mean and variance of the continuously compounded returns.

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