Exam 17: Real Options

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In the context of peak-load energy generation and a European exchange option,what is the spark spread?

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The difference between the price of electricity and the cost of generation.

Mead,Inc.may invest $20 million in a new fiber optic project.Due to market conditions,annual production costs and revenues are forecasted at $10 million and $8 million,respectively,starting next year.Revenues are expected to grow at 4.0% and interest rates are 6.0%.What is the change in value if the project is commenced in 5 years instead of today? (Use static analysis.)

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The current price per ton of iron ore is $145.00.The effective lease rate is 3.0% and the risk free rate is 4.5%.The cost to mine one ton of iron ore is $110.00 and constant.What is the trigger price at which we will mine the iron ore?

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A

The price of oil is $115 per barrel.The effective lease rate and risk free rate are 3.0% and 4.0%,respectively.The constant cost of extraction is $85 per barrel and the volatility of prices is 15.0%.If an untapped well costs $2,100 to open and can produce indefinitely,at what price per barrel should the well be opened?

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The current price per cord of lumber is $26.00.The effective annual lease rate is 2.0% and the risk free rate is 4.0%.The cost to harvest one cord is $20.00 and constant.What is the trigger price at which we will harvest the lumber?

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What is the relationship,in general,between volatility and trigger prices,assuming constant costs?

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The current price of silver is $32.00 per ounce.The effective lease rate and risk free rate are 3.0% and 4.0%,respectively.If the cost to mine one ounce of silver is a constant $25.00,what is the trigger price per ounce at which the silver will be mined?

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Use Cox-Ross-Rubenstein to construct a 2-year binomial tree for the evolution of cash flows with a binomial period of 1.Assume the initial cash flow (CF₁)is $20 million,σ = 0.45,r = 0.13,g = 0.02,and the project lasts 2 years.What is the value of the project on the up node in year 1?

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The price of oil is $115 per barrel.The effective lease rate and risk free rate are 3.0% and 4.0%,respectively.The constant cost of extraction is $85 per barrel and the volatility of prices is 15.0%.If an untapped well costs $2,100 to open and can produce indefinitely,what is the value of the unopened well?

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Geek Is Us,Inc.may invest $8 million in an Alien Spectograph project.Annual costs and revenues,starting next year,are forecasted to be $3 million and $2 million growing at 0.0% and 4.0%,respectively.If the opportunity cost of capital is 6.0% and σ = 0.0,what is the investment trigger price?

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Techie,Inc.may invest $5 million in a new Star Communicator project.Annual production costs and revenues are projected to be $2 million and $1.5 million,with each growing at 2.0% and 4.0%,respectively.At an interest rate of 5.5%,what is the approximate investment year that will maximize value? (Use static analysis.)

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Why is the perpetual call formula used to price commodity extraction options?

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Walla,Inc.may invest $6 million in a Buffalo harvesting project.Annual costs and revenues,starting next year,are forecasted to be $1 million and $0.7 million,growing at 0.0% and 3.0%,respectively.If the opportunity cost of capital is 4.5%,what is the investment trigger price?

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How are call and put options used to value starting,stopping,and restarting commodity extraction projects? Ask students to identify the calls and puts in each situation.

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An existing well is operating and the price of oil is $115 per barrel.The effective lease rate and risk free rate are 3.0% and 4.0%,respectively.The constant cost of extraction is $85 per barrel and the volatility of prices is 15.0%.If it costs nothing to shut down the well,at what price would we close the well?

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The current price of silver is $ 31.00 per ounce.The effective lease rate and risk free rate are 1.0% and 3.5%,respectively.If the cost to mine one ounce of silver is a constant $25.00,what is the value of an option to wait and mine the silver later?

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Use a binomial tree to value the following option.Assume rf = 0.04,rp =0.12,σ = 0.35,E(CF₁)= $30,and cost = $300.What is the value of this project option?

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What is the main difference in pricing R & D options versus most other real options?

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What two components go into valuing an infinite commodity reserve?

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The price of oil is $120 per barrel.The effective lease rate and risk free rate are 5.0% and 6.0%,respectively.The constant cost of extraction is $105 per barrel and the volatility of prices is 18.0%.What is the value of an option to defer extraction?

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