Exam 8: Business Cycles

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Which of the following macroeconomic variables would you include in an index of leading economic indicators?

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Diebold and Rudebusch showed that the composite index of leading indicators did not improve forecasts of industrial production because

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The 1973-1975 recession was caused by

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Which of the following macroeconomic variables is countercyclical?

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In the long run,an increase in consumer spending would cause output to ________ and the price level to ________.

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What are some of the problems with using the leading indicators to forecast recessions? If you were a policymaker,would you rely on them?

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Suppose labor supply declined.Would this affect the aggregate demand curve or the aggregate supply curve? What would be the effect on output and the price level?

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When plotted with the aggregate price level on the vertical axis and output on the horizontal axis,which of the following curves slopes downward?

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Persistence is

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Wars,new inventions,harvest failures,and changes in government policy are examples of

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After a shift in the aggregate demand curve,which variable adjusts to restore general equilibrium?

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A decrease in government spending on the park system would cause

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Suppose the economy is initially in long-run equilibrium.For each of the shocks listed below,explain the long-run effects on output and the price level. (a)Labor supply decreases. (b)The government shuts down the Bureau of Economic Analysis. (c)Productivity increases.

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Christina Romer's estimates of the business cycles prior to World War II showed that the business cycle

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According to research by Stock and Watson,the recent decline in volatility in many macroeconomic variables was a

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Which of the following macroeconomic variables would you exclude from an index of leading economic indicators?

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When plotted with the aggregate price level on the vertical axis and output on the horizontal axis,the long-run aggregate supply curve

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The job loss rate

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One of the first organizations to investigate the business cycle was

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If you were a member of the NBER business-cycle dating committee,would you declare that the U.S.economy is now in a recession? Why? Describe the major variables that you would look at to determine whether the economy is in a recession or not,and what features of the data you would look for.

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