Exam 6: Probability

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If an experiment consists of five outcomes, with P(Q1)=P \left( Q _ { 1 } \right) = 0.10, P(O2)=P \left( O _ { 2 } \right) = 0.10, P(O3)=P \left( O _ { 3 } \right) = 0.30, P(O4)=P \left( O _ { 4 } \right) = 0.25, then P(O5)P \left( O _ { 5 } \right) is:

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A law firm has submitted bids on two separate state contracts, A and B.The company feels that it has a 40% chance of winning contract A, and a 60% chance of winning contract B.Furthermore, the company believes that it has a 75% chance of winning contract B, given that it wins contract A. What is the probability that the firm will win at most one of the two contracts?

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When events are mutually exclusive, they can happen at the same time.

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If A and B are mutually exclusive events with P(A) = 0.80, then P(B):

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If A and B are independent events with P(A) = 0.60 and P(A/B) = 0.60, then P(B) is:

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The relative frequency approach to probability depends on the law of large numbers.

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An experiment consists of tossing three fair (unbiased) coins simultaneously. This experiment has eight possible outcomes.

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When it is not reasonable to use the classical approach to assigning probabilities to the outcomes of an experiment, and there is no history of the outcomes, we have no alternative but to employ the subjective approach.

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The annual estimate of the number of deaths of infants is an example of the classical approach to probability.

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A table of joint probabilities is shown below. 0.15 0.25 0.20 0.10 0.15 0.15 Calculate the marginal probabilities of eventA.

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According to an old song lyric, 'love and marriage go together like a horse and carriage'. Let love be event A and marriage be event B.Events A and B cannot be mutually exclusive.

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If A and B are mutually exclusive events, with P(A) = 0.20 and P(B) = 0.30, then P(A B) is:

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An insurance company has collected the following data on the gender and marital status of 300 customers. Marital Status Gender Single Married Divorced Male 25 125 30 Female 50 50 20 Suppose that a customer is selected at random. Find the probability that the customer selected is: a. a married female. b. not single. c. married, if the customer is male. d. female or divorced. e. Are gender and marital status mutually exclusive? Explain using probabilities. f. Is marital status independent of gender? Explain using probabilities.

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Which of the following is not an approach to assigning probabilities?

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Find the probability that the ice cream was strawberry-flavoured, given that it was sold in a cup.

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An investment firm has classified its clients according to their gender and the composition of their investment portfolios (primarily bonds, primarily stocks, or a balanced mix of bonds and stocks). The proportions of clients falling into the various categories are shown in the following table: Portfolio Composition Gender Bonds Stocks Balanced Male 0.18 0.20 0.25 Female 0.12 0.10 0.15 One client is selected at random, and two events A and B are defined as follows: A: The client selected is male. B: The client selected has a balanced portfolio. Are A and B independent events? Explain.

(Essay)
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A law firm has submitted bids on two separate state contracts, A and B.The company feels that it has a 40% chance of winning contract A, and a 60% chance of winning contract B.Furthermore, the company believes that it has a 75% chance of winning contract B, given that it wins contract A. What is the probability that the firm will win neither contract?

(Short Answer)
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Two events A and B are said to mutually exclusive if:

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The sample space of the toss of a fair die is S = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}. If the die is balanced, each simple event has the same probability. Find the probability of the following events. a. Equal to 1. b. A number greater than 3. c. A number greater than 6. d. A number between 2 and 4, inclusive.

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An effective and simple method of applying the probability rules is the probability tree, wherein the events of an experiment are represented by lines.

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