Exam 14: Real Options

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Use a binomial tree to value to following option. Assume rf = 0.045, rp = 0.14, σ = 0.20, E(CF1) = $62 million, g = 0.03, time horizon = 2 years, binomial period = 1 year, and cost = $500 million. What is the value of this project option?

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What is the value of the project assuming an $80 annual cost and the option of not pursing the project in periods where cash flow is negative?

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The phrase in real option theory used to replace the strike price?

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The price of oil is $45 per barrel. The effective lease rate and risk free rate are 3.0% and 4.0%, respectively. The constant cost of extraction is $25 per barrel and the volatility of prices is 15.0%. If an untapped well costs $240 to open and can produce indefinitely, at what price per barrel should the well be opened?

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If we continue to consider the $80 annual cost, but are able to avoid operating in years where money will be lost, what is the expected risk neutral cash flow in year 2?

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