Exam 6: The Wide World of Futures Contracts

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When answering the questions below, refer to the following table of commodity forward and spot prices. The annual risk free interest rate is 4.0%. Expiration Pork Bellies Com Soybeans Today=spot 540 212 430 6 months 560 208 440 12 months 590 203 452 18 months 625 200 445 24 months 655 195 437 -What is the approximate annualized lease rate on the 12-month corn forward contract?

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The lease rate on the 6-month soybean contract is 0.35%. What is the implied annual storage cost if the cost is continuously paid and proportional?

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The spot price of corn is $2.60 per bushel. The opportunity cost of capital for an investor is 0.6% per month. If storage costs of $0.03 per bushel per month are factored in, all else being equal, what is the future value of storage costs over a 6-month period?

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D

Give one example of how price discovery functions in the commodity futures market.

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If the December HDD contract for Chicago is quoted as 994, what is the implied average HDD for the month of December?

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What function does the convenience yield serve in setting forward prices and how does this influence arbitrage opportunities?

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Which of the following terms most accurately describes the forward curve for soybeans over the next two years?

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Explain how a negative correlation between agricultural production and commodity prices creates a natural hedge.

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Why is the cash-and-carry strategy employed in the financial futures market not readily available in the commodity futures market?

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Nine-month gold futures are trading for $306 per ounce. The spot price is $295 per ounce. LIBOR during each of the upcoming 4 quarters is listed as 1.04%, 1.22%, 1.30%, and 1.35%, respectively. Calculate the 9-month lease rate on the futures contract.

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Given a lease rate of 7.0% on the 24-month corn forward contract, what is the approximate potential arbitrage profit per contract?

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During one winter week, the city of Indianapolis had daily average Fahrenheit temperatures of 55, 45, 38, 48, 35, 50, and 42 degrees. What is the HDD for this week?

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The 6-month futures price for oil is $21 per barrel (or 50 cents per gallon). The 6-month futures prices for gasoline and heating oil are 80 cents and 69 cents, respectively. What is the gross margin on a simple 3-2-1 crack spread?

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The current currency spot rate is $1.31 per euro. If dollar denominated interest rates are 3.0% and euro denominated interest rates are 4.0%, what is the likely dollar per euro exchange rate for a 2-year forward contract?

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The spot price of gasoline is 106 cents per gallon and the annualized risk free interest rate is 4.0%. Given a lease rate of 1.0%, a continuously paid storage rate of 0.5%, and a convenience yield of 0.75%, what is the no-arbitrage price range of a 1-year forward contract (in cents)?

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Housing index and housing futures contracts attempt to track which of the following?

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Oil is selling at a spot price of $42.00 per barrel. Oil can be stored at a cost of $0.42 per barrel per month. The opportunity cost of capital is 7.2% per year (or 0.6% per month). What is the gain or loss realized by an oil refinery that floats its exposure and purchases oil on the spot market in 2 months at a price of $43.00 per barrel, instead of hedging with a forward contract?

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Which of the following is most likely to short a housing futures contract?

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Explain the steps necessary to take advantage of an arbitrage opportunity, which may exist between the dollar and yen, when a future yen payment is required.

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When answering the questions below, refer to the following table of commodity forward and spot prices. The annual risk free interest rate is 4.0%. Expiration Pork Bellies Com Soybeans Today=spot 540 212 430 6 months 560 208 440 12 months 590 203 452 18 months 625 200 445 24 months 655 195 437 -What is the approximate annualized lease rate on the 18-month soybean forward contract?

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