Exam 22: Real Options

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Which of the following statements is FALSE?

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C

Unicorn Medical Devices is developing a new technology.After initial development of the device,the company must test it.If the tests go well and the device is successful,it can be marketed immediately.If the tests do not go well,Unicorn will revise the original device and repeat the process.The outcome of the tests is on a(n)________ in a decision tree.

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B

Can value can be created by waiting for uncertainty to resolve?

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Value can be created by waiting for uncertainty to resolve because once it is resolved you can make better decisions with better information.If there is no cost to waiting,investing early never makes sense.If there is a cost,the benefits must be weighed.

Describe the two factors that affect the value of an investment timing option?

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When the value of one project depends on the outcome of one or more other projects,this is known as:

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Use the table for the question(s)below. Consider the following mutually exclusive projects: Use the table for the question(s)below. Consider the following mutually exclusive projects:   -The equivalent annual benefit of project A is closest to: -The equivalent annual benefit of project A is closest to:

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Use the information for the question(s)below. You own a small manufacturing plant that currently generates revenues of $2 million per year.Next year,based upon a decision on a long-term government contract,your revenues will either increase by 20% or decrease by 25%,with equal probability,and stay at that level as long as you operate the plant.Other costs run $1.6 million per year.You can sell the plant at any time to a large conglomerate for $5 million and your cost of capital is 10%. -If you are awarded the government contract and your sales increase by 20%,then the value of your plant will be closest to:

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Use the table for the question(s)below. Consider the following mutually exclusive projects: Use the table for the question(s)below. Consider the following mutually exclusive projects:   -The NPV of project B is closest to: -The NPV of project B is closest to:

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Which of the following statements is FALSE?

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Use the following information to answer the question(s)below. Rearden Metal can invest in a risk-free technology that requires an up-front investment of $1 million.Rearden's managers are hesitant to invest because of uncertainty over future interest rates.Suppose that all interest rates will be either 8% or 4% in one year and remain there forever.The risk-neutral probability that interest rates will drop to 4% is 40%.The one-year risk-free interest rate is 5% and today's rate on a risk-free perpetual bond is 6%.The rate on an equivalent perpetual bond that is repayable at any time (the callable annuity rate)is 7.65%. -Assuming that this project will provide Rearden with perpetual annual cash flows of $65,000,the NPV of investing in the project next year is closest to:

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Use the information for the question(s)below. Kinston Industries has come up with a new mountain bike prototype and is ready to go ahead with pilot production and test marketing.The pilot production and test marketing phase will last for one year and cost $500,000.Your management team believes that there is a 50% chance that the test marketing will be successful and that there will be sufficient demand for the new mountain bike.If the test-marketing phase is successful,then Kinston Industries will invest $3 million in year one to build a plant that will generate expected annual after-tax cash flows of $400,000 in perpetuity beginning in year two.If the test marketing is not successful,Kinston can still go ahead and build the new plant,but the expected annual after-tax cash flows would be only $200,000 in perpetuity beginning in year two.Kinston has the option to stop the project at any time and sell the prototype mountain bike to an overseas competitor for $300,000.Kinston's cost of capital is 10%. -Assume that Kinston has the ability to ignore the pilot production and test marketing and to go ahead and build their manufacturing plant immediately and that the probability of high or low demand would still be 50%.What is the value of the option to do pilot production and test marketing?

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The callable annuity rate can be calculated as:

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Use the information for the question(s)below. DM Skateboard company is planning to develop a new electric skateboard.In order for the project to be successful,the company must develop a new deck to accommodate a lightweight battery and a remote that is easy to operate while moving in an open environment.The company estimates the following costs,times,and probabilities of success for each component of the new skateboard: Use the information for the question(s)below. DM Skateboard company is planning to develop a new electric skateboard.In order for the project to be successful,the company must develop a new deck to accommodate a lightweight battery and a remote that is easy to operate while moving in an open environment.The company estimates the following costs,times,and probabilities of success for each component of the new skateboard:   All three risks are idiosyncratic and the risk-free rate of interest is 5%.The company does not have the resources to develop all the components at the same time.Therefore,management needs to decide in what order to develop the technologies. -What is the failure cost index of the deck technology? All three risks are idiosyncratic and the risk-free rate of interest is 5%.The company does not have the resources to develop all the components at the same time.Therefore,management needs to decide in what order to develop the technologies. -What is the failure cost index of the deck technology?

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Use the information for the question(s)below. You own a small manufacturing plant that currently generates revenues of $2 million per year.Next year,based upon a decision on a long-term government contract,your revenues will either increase by 20% or decrease by 25%,with equal probability,and stay at that level as long as you operate the plant.Other costs run $1.6 million per year.You can sell the plant at any time to a large conglomerate for $5 million and your cost of capital is 10%. -If you are not awarded the government contract and your sales decrease by 25%,then the value of your plant will be closest to:

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Which of the following statements is FALSE?

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Which of the following statements is FALSE?

(Multiple Choice)
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Which of the following statements is FALSE?

(Multiple Choice)
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(78)

Which of the following statements is FALSE?

(Multiple Choice)
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Use the information for the question(s)below. Kinston Industries has come up with a new mountain bike prototype and is ready to go ahead with pilot production and test marketing.The pilot production and test marketing phase will last for one year and cost $500,000.Your management team believes that there is a 50% chance that the test marketing will be successful and that there will be sufficient demand for the new mountain bike.If the test-marketing phase is successful,then Kinston Industries will invest $3 million in year one to build a plant that will generate expected annual after-tax cash flows of $400,000 in perpetuity beginning in year two.If the test marketing is not successful,Kinston can still go ahead and build the new plant,but the expected annual after-tax cash flows would be only $200,000 in perpetuity beginning in year two.Kinston has the option to stop the project at any time and sell the prototype mountain bike to an overseas competitor for $300,000.Kinston's cost of capital is 10%. -Assume that Kinston has the ability to ignore the pilot production and test marketing and to go ahead and build their manufacturing plant immediately.Assuming that the probability of high or low demand is still 50%,the NPV of the Kinston Industries Mountain Bike Project is closest to:

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Which of the following statements is FALSE?

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