Exam 8: Relationships Among Inflation, Interest Rates, and Exchange Rates

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The following regression was conducted for the exchange rate of the British pound (BP): The following regression was conducted for the exchange rate of the British pound (BP):   Regression results indicate that a<sub>0</sub> = 0 and a<sub>1</sub> = 2. Therefore: Regression results indicate that a0 = 0 and a1 = 2. Therefore:

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Given a home country and a foreign country, the international Fisher effect (IFE) suggests that:

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Because there are a variety of factors in addition to inflation that affect exchange rates, this will:

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Assume that inflation in the United States is expected to be 9 percent, while inflation in Australia is expected to be 5 percent over the next year. Today you receive an offer to purchase a one-year put option for $.03 per unit on Australian dollars at a strike price of $0.72. Today the Australian dollar is quoted at $0.70. You believe that purchasing power parity holds. You should accept the offer.

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Purchasing power parity (PPP) focuses on the relationship between nominal interest rates and exchange rates between two countries.

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If purchasing power parity holds, then the Fisher effect must also hold.

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If interest rates on the euro are consistently below U.S. interest rates, then for the international Fisher effect (IFE) to hold:​

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According to the international Fisher effect (IFE), the exchange rate percentage change should be approximately equal to the differential in income levels between two countries.

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Which of the following is true regarding the IFE?

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​The inflation rate in the United States is 3 percent while the inflation rate in Japan is 10 percent. The current exchange rate for the Japanese yen (¥) is $0.0075. After supply and demand for the Japanese yen have adjusted in the manner suggested by purchasing power parity, the new exchange rate for the yen will be:

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There is much evidence to suggest that Japanese investors invest in U.S. Treasury securities when U.S. interest rates are higher than Japanese interest rates. These investors most likely believe in the international Fisher effect.

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Which of the following is not true regarding IRP, PPP, and the IFE?

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​Assume that the U.S. inflation rate is higher than the New Zealand inflation rate. This will cause U.S. consumers to ____ their imports from New Zealand and New Zealand consumers to ____ their imports from the United States. According to purchasing power parity (PPP), this will result in a(n) ____ of the New Zealand dollar (NZ$).

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​Assume that the one-year interest rate in the United States is 7 percent and in the United Kingdom is 5 percent. According to the international Fisher effect, the British pound's spot exchange rate should ____ by about ____ over the year.

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If the international Fisher effect (IFE) did not hold based on historical data, this would suggest that:​

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Given a home country and a foreign country, purchasing power parity suggests that:

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Research indicates that deviations from purchasing power parity (PPP) are less pronounced over the long run.

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Assume that the interest rate offered on pounds is 5 percent and the pound is expected to depreciate by 1.5 percent. For the international Fisher effect (IFE) to hold between the United Kingdom and the United States, the U.S. interest rate should be:

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​Assume that the international Fisher effect (IFE) holds between the United States and the United Kingdom. The U.S. inflation is expected to be 5 percent, while British inflation is expected to be 3 percent. The interest rate offered on pounds is 7 percent, and the U.S. interest rate is 7 percent. What does this say about real interest rates expected by British investors?

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If nominal British interest rates are 3 percent and nominal U.S. interest rates are 6 percent, then the British pound (£) is expected to ____ by about ____percent, according to the international Fisher effect (IFE).

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