Exam 19: Decision Making

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TABLE 19-5 The following payoff table shows profits associated with a set of 2 alternatives under 3 possible events. TABLE 19-5 The following payoff table shows profits associated with a set of 2 alternatives under 3 possible events.   Suppose that the probability of Event 1 is 0.2,Event 2 is 0.5,and Event 3 is 0.3. -Referring to Table 19-5,what is the opportunity loss for Action B with Event 3? Suppose that the probability of Event 1 is 0.2,Event 2 is 0.5,and Event 3 is 0.3. -Referring to Table 19-5,what is the opportunity loss for Action B with Event 3?

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TABLE 19-1 The following payoff table shows profits associated with a set of 3 alternatives under 2 possible states of nature TABLE 19-1 The following payoff table shows profits associated with a set of 3 alternatives under 2 possible states of nature     -Referring to Table 19-1,if the probability of S1 is 0.2,what is the optimal alternative using EOL? TABLE 19-1 The following payoff table shows profits associated with a set of 3 alternatives under 2 possible states of nature     -Referring to Table 19-1,if the probability of S1 is 0.2,what is the optimal alternative using EOL? -Referring to Table 19-1,if the probability of S1 is 0.2,what is the optimal alternative using EOL?

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TABLE 19-2 The following payoff matrix is given in dollars. TABLE 19-2 The following payoff matrix is given in dollars.   Suppose the probability of Event 1 is 0.5 and Event 2 is 0.5. -Referring to Table 19-2,what is the action with the preferable coefficient of variation? Suppose the probability of Event 1 is 0.5 and Event 2 is 0.5. -Referring to Table 19-2,what is the action with the preferable coefficient of variation?

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TABLE 19-1 The following payoff table shows profits associated with a set of 3 alternatives under 2 possible states of nature TABLE 19-1 The following payoff table shows profits associated with a set of 3 alternatives under 2 possible states of nature     -Blossom's Flowers purchases roses for sale for Valentine's Day.The roses are purchased for $10 a dozen and are sold for $20 a dozen.Any roses not sold on Valentine's Day can be sold for $5 per dozen.The owner will purchase 1 of 3 amounts of roses for Valentine's Day: 100,200,or 400 dozen roses.Given 0.2,0.4,and 0.6 are the probabilities for the sale of 100,200,or 400 dozen roses,respectively,then the optimal alternative using EMV for selling roses is to buy ________ dozen roses. TABLE 19-1 The following payoff table shows profits associated with a set of 3 alternatives under 2 possible states of nature     -Blossom's Flowers purchases roses for sale for Valentine's Day.The roses are purchased for $10 a dozen and are sold for $20 a dozen.Any roses not sold on Valentine's Day can be sold for $5 per dozen.The owner will purchase 1 of 3 amounts of roses for Valentine's Day: 100,200,or 400 dozen roses.Given 0.2,0.4,and 0.6 are the probabilities for the sale of 100,200,or 400 dozen roses,respectively,then the optimal alternative using EMV for selling roses is to buy ________ dozen roses. -Blossom's Flowers purchases roses for sale for Valentine's Day.The roses are purchased for $10 a dozen and are sold for $20 a dozen.Any roses not sold on Valentine's Day can be sold for $5 per dozen.The owner will purchase 1 of 3 amounts of roses for Valentine's Day: 100,200,or 400 dozen roses.Given 0.2,0.4,and 0.6 are the probabilities for the sale of 100,200,or 400 dozen roses,respectively,then the optimal alternative using EMV for selling roses is to buy ________ dozen roses.

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TABLE 19-6 A student wanted to find out the optimal strategy to study for a Business Statistics exam.He constructed the following payoff table based on the mean amount of time he needed to study every week for the course and the degree of difficulty of the exam.From the information that he gathered from students who had taken the course,he concluded that there was a 40% probability that the exam would be easy. TABLE 19-6 A student wanted to find out the optimal strategy to study for a Business Statistics exam.He constructed the following payoff table based on the mean amount of time he needed to study every week for the course and the degree of difficulty of the exam.From the information that he gathered from students who had taken the course,he concluded that there was a 40% probability that the exam would be easy.   -Referring to Table 19-6,what is the expected monetary value of spending 8 hours per week on average studying for the exam? -Referring to Table 19-6,what is the expected monetary value of spending 8 hours per week on average studying for the exam?

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TABLE 19-5 The following payoff table shows profits associated with a set of 2 alternatives under 3 possible events. TABLE 19-5 The following payoff table shows profits associated with a set of 2 alternatives under 3 possible events.   Suppose that the probability of Event 1 is 0.2,Event 2 is 0.5,and Event 3 is 0.3. -Referring to Table 19-5,what is the EMV for Action B? Suppose that the probability of Event 1 is 0.2,Event 2 is 0.5,and Event 3 is 0.3. -Referring to Table 19-5,what is the EMV for Action B?

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TABLE 19-6 A student wanted to find out the optimal strategy to study for a Business Statistics exam.He constructed the following payoff table based on the mean amount of time he needed to study every week for the course and the degree of difficulty of the exam.From the information that he gathered from students who had taken the course,he concluded that there was a 40% probability that the exam would be easy. TABLE 19-6 A student wanted to find out the optimal strategy to study for a Business Statistics exam.He constructed the following payoff table based on the mean amount of time he needed to study every week for the course and the degree of difficulty of the exam.From the information that he gathered from students who had taken the course,he concluded that there was a 40% probability that the exam would be easy.   -Referring to Table 19-6,what is the expected profit under certainty? -Referring to Table 19-6,what is the expected profit under certainty?

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TABLE 19-5 The following payoff table shows profits associated with a set of 2 alternatives under 3 possible events. TABLE 19-5 The following payoff table shows profits associated with a set of 2 alternatives under 3 possible events.   Suppose that the probability of Event 1 is 0.2,Event 2 is 0.5,and Event 3 is 0.3. -Referring to Table 19-5,what is the optimal action using EMV? Suppose that the probability of Event 1 is 0.2,Event 2 is 0.5,and Event 3 is 0.3. -Referring to Table 19-5,what is the optimal action using EMV?

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Look at the utility function graphed below and select the type of decision maker that corresponds to the graph. Look at the utility function graphed below and select the type of decision maker that corresponds to the graph.

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TABLE 19-2 The following payoff matrix is given in dollars. TABLE 19-2 The following payoff matrix is given in dollars.   Suppose the probability of Event 1 is 0.5 and Event 2 is 0.5. -Referring to Table 19-2,what is the best action using the maximax criterion? Suppose the probability of Event 1 is 0.5 and Event 2 is 0.5. -Referring to Table 19-2,what is the best action using the maximax criterion?

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TABLE 19-1 The following payoff table shows profits associated with a set of 3 alternatives under 2 possible states of nature TABLE 19-1 The following payoff table shows profits associated with a set of 3 alternatives under 2 possible states of nature     -Blossom's Flowers purchases roses for sale for Valentine's Day.The roses are purchased for $10 a dozen and are sold for $20 a dozen.Any roses not sold on Valentine's Day can be sold for $5 per dozen.The owner will purchase 1 of 3 amounts of roses for Valentine's Day: 100,200,or 400 dozen roses.The payoff for buying and selling 400 dozen roses at the full price is TABLE 19-1 The following payoff table shows profits associated with a set of 3 alternatives under 2 possible states of nature     -Blossom's Flowers purchases roses for sale for Valentine's Day.The roses are purchased for $10 a dozen and are sold for $20 a dozen.Any roses not sold on Valentine's Day can be sold for $5 per dozen.The owner will purchase 1 of 3 amounts of roses for Valentine's Day: 100,200,or 400 dozen roses.The payoff for buying and selling 400 dozen roses at the full price is -Blossom's Flowers purchases roses for sale for Valentine's Day.The roses are purchased for $10 a dozen and are sold for $20 a dozen.Any roses not sold on Valentine's Day can be sold for $5 per dozen.The owner will purchase 1 of 3 amounts of roses for Valentine's Day: 100,200,or 400 dozen roses.The payoff for buying and selling 400 dozen roses at the full price is

(Multiple Choice)
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TABLE 19-4 A stock portfolio has the following returns under the market conditions listed below. TABLE 19-4 A stock portfolio has the following returns under the market conditions listed below.   -Referring to Table 19-4,what is the EMV? -Referring to Table 19-4,what is the EMV?

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TABLE 19-2 The following payoff matrix is given in dollars. TABLE 19-2 The following payoff matrix is given in dollars.   Suppose the probability of Event 1 is 0.5 and Event 2 is 0.5. -The minimum expected opportunity loss is also equal to Suppose the probability of Event 1 is 0.5 and Event 2 is 0.5. -The minimum expected opportunity loss is also equal to

(Multiple Choice)
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TABLE 19-4 A stock portfolio has the following returns under the market conditions listed below. TABLE 19-4 A stock portfolio has the following returns under the market conditions listed below.   -Referring to Table 19-4,what is the return to risk ratio? -Referring to Table 19-4,what is the return to risk ratio?

(Multiple Choice)
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TABLE 19-1 The following payoff table shows profits associated with a set of 3 alternatives under 2 possible states of nature TABLE 19-1 The following payoff table shows profits associated with a set of 3 alternatives under 2 possible states of nature     -Referring to Table 19-1,if the probability of S1 is 0.2 and S2 is 0.8,then the expected opportunity loss (EOL)for A1 is TABLE 19-1 The following payoff table shows profits associated with a set of 3 alternatives under 2 possible states of nature     -Referring to Table 19-1,if the probability of S1 is 0.2 and S2 is 0.8,then the expected opportunity loss (EOL)for A1 is -Referring to Table 19-1,if the probability of S1 is 0.2 and S2 is 0.8,then the expected opportunity loss (EOL)for A1 is

(Multiple Choice)
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TABLE 19-1 The following payoff table shows profits associated with a set of 3 alternatives under 2 possible states of nature TABLE 19-1 The following payoff table shows profits associated with a set of 3 alternatives under 2 possible states of nature     -Blossom's Flowers purchases roses for sale for Valentine's Day.The roses are purchased for $10 a dozen and are sold for $20 a dozen.Any roses not sold on Valentine's Day can be sold for $5 per dozen.The owner will purchase 1 of 3 amounts of roses for Valentine's Day: 100,200,or 400 dozen roses.The number of states of nature for the payoff table is TABLE 19-1 The following payoff table shows profits associated with a set of 3 alternatives under 2 possible states of nature     -Blossom's Flowers purchases roses for sale for Valentine's Day.The roses are purchased for $10 a dozen and are sold for $20 a dozen.Any roses not sold on Valentine's Day can be sold for $5 per dozen.The owner will purchase 1 of 3 amounts of roses for Valentine's Day: 100,200,or 400 dozen roses.The number of states of nature for the payoff table is -Blossom's Flowers purchases roses for sale for Valentine's Day.The roses are purchased for $10 a dozen and are sold for $20 a dozen.Any roses not sold on Valentine's Day can be sold for $5 per dozen.The owner will purchase 1 of 3 amounts of roses for Valentine's Day: 100,200,or 400 dozen roses.The number of states of nature for the payoff table is

(Multiple Choice)
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TABLE 19-1 The following payoff table shows profits associated with a set of 3 alternatives under 2 possible states of nature TABLE 19-1 The following payoff table shows profits associated with a set of 3 alternatives under 2 possible states of nature     -Referring to Table 19-1,what is the best action using the maximin criterion? TABLE 19-1 The following payoff table shows profits associated with a set of 3 alternatives under 2 possible states of nature     -Referring to Table 19-1,what is the best action using the maximin criterion? -Referring to Table 19-1,what is the best action using the maximin criterion?

(Multiple Choice)
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TABLE 19-5 The following payoff table shows profits associated with a set of 2 alternatives under 3 possible events. TABLE 19-5 The following payoff table shows profits associated with a set of 2 alternatives under 3 possible events.   Suppose that the probability of Event 1 is 0.2,Event 2 is 0.5,and Event 3 is 0.3. -Referring to Table 19-5,what is the optimal action using EOL? Suppose that the probability of Event 1 is 0.2,Event 2 is 0.5,and Event 3 is 0.3. -Referring to Table 19-5,what is the optimal action using EOL?

(Short Answer)
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TABLE 19-1 The following payoff table shows profits associated with a set of 3 alternatives under 2 possible states of nature TABLE 19-1 The following payoff table shows profits associated with a set of 3 alternatives under 2 possible states of nature     -Blossom's Flowers purchases roses for sale for Valentine's Day.The roses are purchased for $10 a dozen and are sold for $20 a dozen.Any roses not sold on Valentine's Day can be sold for $5 per dozen.The owner will purchase 1 of 3 amounts of roses for Valentine's Day: 100,200,or 400 dozen roses.The opportunity loss for buying 200 dozen roses and selling 100 dozen roses at the full price is TABLE 19-1 The following payoff table shows profits associated with a set of 3 alternatives under 2 possible states of nature     -Blossom's Flowers purchases roses for sale for Valentine's Day.The roses are purchased for $10 a dozen and are sold for $20 a dozen.Any roses not sold on Valentine's Day can be sold for $5 per dozen.The owner will purchase 1 of 3 amounts of roses for Valentine's Day: 100,200,or 400 dozen roses.The opportunity loss for buying 200 dozen roses and selling 100 dozen roses at the full price is -Blossom's Flowers purchases roses for sale for Valentine's Day.The roses are purchased for $10 a dozen and are sold for $20 a dozen.Any roses not sold on Valentine's Day can be sold for $5 per dozen.The owner will purchase 1 of 3 amounts of roses for Valentine's Day: 100,200,or 400 dozen roses.The opportunity loss for buying 200 dozen roses and selling 100 dozen roses at the full price is

(Multiple Choice)
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TABLE 19-6 A student wanted to find out the optimal strategy to study for a Business Statistics exam.He constructed the following payoff table based on the mean amount of time he needed to study every week for the course and the degree of difficulty of the exam.From the information that he gathered from students who had taken the course,he concluded that there was a 40% probability that the exam would be easy. TABLE 19-6 A student wanted to find out the optimal strategy to study for a Business Statistics exam.He constructed the following payoff table based on the mean amount of time he needed to study every week for the course and the degree of difficulty of the exam.From the information that he gathered from students who had taken the course,he concluded that there was a 40% probability that the exam would be easy.   -Referring to Table 19-6,what is the expected value of perfect information? -Referring to Table 19-6,what is the expected value of perfect information?

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