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Mind on Statistics
Exam 1: Statistics Success Stories and Cautionary Tales
Path 4
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Question 61
Short Answer
Use the following information for questions: According to a CNN poll released in January of 2010, 56 percent of the public opposed the stimulus bill, with 42 percent supportive of the plan. The CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll was conducted January 8-10, with 1,021 adult Americans questioned by telephone. The survey's sampling error was reported as plus or minus 3 percentage points. -What is the approximate margin of error for this survey? Did the story report the correct margin of error?
Question 62
Multiple Choice
A random sample of 1,002 adults aged at least 18 years and living in the 48 contiguous states (i.e. any state in the United States excluding Alaska and Hawaii) was conducted by the Gallup Organization. The interviews were done over the telephone. The population represented by this sample was
Question 63
Multiple Choice
Use the following information for questions: In a study of patients who had a heart attack, 3630 patients were randomly assigned to receive one of three treatments: aspirin alone, warfarin alone, or aspirin plus warfarin. The results showed that 20.0% of the aspirin group had another heart attack, stroke, or died, compared with 16.7% of the warfarin group and 15.0% of the aspirin plus warfarin group. The difference between the aspirin and warfarin groups was statistically significant, while the difference between the warfarin and aspirin plus warfarin group was not statistically significant. -The non-statistically significant difference between the warfarin alone group (16.7%) and the aspirin plus warfarin group (15.0%) means that
Question 64
Essay
Suppose that a survey of 20,000 high school students (10,000 girls and 10,000 boys) was done. Students were asked if they had used cocaine during the last 30 days. 4.9% of the boys and 4.2% of the girls reported using cocaine. The difference between the two percentages is statistically significant. Explain why this difference may not be practically significant.
Question 65
Multiple Choice
Use the following information for questions: Suppose you were to read about a study showing that people who sleep less than five hours a night have twice as much risk of a premature death as people who sleep seven or eight hours a night. -The "baseline risk"in this context is
Question 66
Multiple Choice
Use the following information for questions: A five number summary for hours studied in a week were 5, 12, 14, 18, and 20. -What is the value such that 75% or more of the students studied longer than that value?
Question 67
Short Answer
A survey of people applying for a mortgage showed that among white people with a bad credit rating, 90% were approved for mortgages, whereas among black people with a bad credit rating, 81% were approved. What confounding variable could also explain the apparent racial difference in the percentage of approved mortgages?
Question 68
Short Answer
Use the following information for questions: In a 1994 Census Bureau report, the total number of households and the number of households with a married couple and their own children were reported for the years 1990 and for 1994. The results are given below:
One newspaper reported these results with the following headline: "Number of Two-Parent Families Up." Another newspaper, based on the percentages, reported on the same results with the headline: "Traditional Families Less Common". -In 1990, what percentage of households consisted of a married couple with children?
Question 69
Short Answer
An Islamic survey conducted by the Gallup organization consisted of a random sample of 10,004 people living in 9 predominantly Islamic countries. Calculate the approximate margin of error for the survey.