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Mathematics
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Using and Understanding Mathematics
Exam 7: Probability: Living With the Odds
Path 4
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Question 1
Multiple Choice
Provide an appropriate response. -When a balanced die is rolled, the probability that a six will appear is
1
6
.
\frac { 1 } { 6 } .
6
1
.
. Suppose that you have just rolled the die five times without getting a six. What is the probability that you will get a six on The next roll of the die?
Question 2
Multiple Choice
Solve the problem. -Find the odds for drawing an ace when a card is drawn at random from a normal deck of 52 playing cards.
Question 3
Multiple Choice
Solve the problem. -There are 7 finalists in a singing competition. If a person guesses randomly the top three winners (in any order) , what is the probability that they Will guess correctly?
Question 4
Multiple Choice
Solve the problem. -How many different five-card hands can be dealt from a deck that has only clubs (13 cards altogether) ?
Question 5
True/False
Determine whether the events A and B are independent. -Eight friends are drawing straws. The one who picks the short straw must cook dinner for the others. Event A: The first person does not pick the short straw Event B: The second person picks the short straw
Question 6
Multiple Choice
Provide an appropriate response. -Event A is that Lisa votes for Candidate A in the gubernatorial election and event B is that she votes for candidate B. Are events A and B: A: Overlapping, Independent? B: Overlapping, Dependent?
C
:
\mathrm { C } :
C
:
Non-overlapping, Independent? D: Non-overlapping, Dependent?
Question 7
Multiple Choice
Find the expected value. -You are given 12 to 1 odds against drawing two hearts when two cards are selected at random from a standard deck of 52 cards (with replacement of the first card before the second card is drawn) . This means that you win $12 if you succeed and you lose $1 if you fail. Find the expected value (to You) of the game. Round to the nearest cent.
Question 8
Multiple Choice
Make a probability distribution for the given set of events. -When two fair dice are rolled, 36 equally likely outcomes are possible as shown below.
(
1
,
1
)
(
1
,
2
)
(
1
,
3
)
(
1
,
4
)
(
1
,
5
)
(
1
,
6
)
( 1,1 ) \quad ( 1,2 ) \quad ( 1,3 ) \quad ( 1,4 ) \quad ( 1,5 ) \quad ( 1,6 )
(
1
,
1
)
(
1
,
2
)
(
1
,
3
)
(
1
,
4
)
(
1
,
5
)
(
1
,
6
)
(
2
,
1
)
(
2
,
2
)
(
2
,
3
)
(
2
,
4
)
(
2
,
5
)
(
2
,
6
)
( 2,1 ) \quad ( 2,2 ) \quad ( 2,3 ) \quad ( 2,4 ) \quad ( 2,5 ) \quad ( 2,6 )
(
2
,
1
)
(
2
,
2
)
(
2
,
3
)
(
2
,
4
)
(
2
,
5
)
(
2
,
6
)
(
3
,
1
)
(
3
,
2
)
(
3
,
3
)
(
3
,
4
)
(
3
,
5
)
(
3
,
6
)
( 3,1 ) \quad ( 3,2 ) \quad ( 3,3 ) \quad ( 3,4 ) \quad ( 3,5 ) \quad ( 3,6 )
(
3
,
1
)
(
3
,
2
)
(
3
,
3
)
(
3
,
4
)
(
3
,
5
)
(
3
,
6
)
(
4
,
1
)
(
4
,
2
)
(
4
,
3
)
(
4
,
4
)
(
4
,
5
)
(
4
,
6
)
( 4,1 ) \quad ( 4,2 ) \quad ( 4,3 ) \quad ( 4,4 ) \quad ( 4,5 ) \quad ( 4,6 )
(
4
,
1
)
(
4
,
2
)
(
4
,
3
)
(
4
,
4
)
(
4
,
5
)
(
4
,
6
)
(
5
,
1
)
(
5
,
2
)
(
5
,
3
)
(
5
,
4
)
(
5
,
5
)
(
5
,
6
)
( 5,1 ) \quad ( 5,2 ) \quad ( 5,3 ) \quad ( 5,4 ) \quad ( 5,5 ) \quad ( 5,6 )
(
5
,
1
)
(
5
,
2
)
(
5
,
3
)
(
5
,
4
)
(
5
,
5
)
(
5
,
6
)
(
6
,
1
)
(
6
,
2
)
(
6
,
3
)
(
6
,
4
)
(
6
,
5
)
(
6
,
6
)
( 6,1 ) \quad ( 6,2 ) \quad ( 6,3 ) \quad( 6,4 ) \quad ( 6,5 ) \quad ( 6,6 )
(
6
,
1
)
(
6
,
2
)
(
6
,
3
)
(
6
,
4
)
(
6
,
5
)
(
6
,
6
)
Find the probability distribution for the product of the two numbers that appear when two fair dice are rolled.
Question 9
Multiple Choice
Solve the problem. Round your answer to 2 decimal places when necessary. -The overall U.S. death rate for 60 year-olds is approximately 12 deaths per 1000 people. Suppose that a life insurance company insures 2000 60-year-old people. The cost of the premium is $760 per Year, and the death benefit is $60,000. What is the expected profit or loss for the insurance Company?
Question 10
Multiple Choice
Solve the problem. -A student is told to answer any 7 out of 10 questions on an exam. In how many different ways can he choose the 7 questions to answer?
Question 11
Multiple Choice
Find the indicated probability. Round your answer to 6 decimal places when necessary. -Two fair 6-sided dice are rolled. What is the probability that the sum of the two numbers on the dice is greater than 10?
Question 12
Multiple Choice
Evaluate the factorial expression. -
10
!
9
!
\frac { 10 ! } { 9 ! }
9
!
10
!
Question 13
Essay
Write the word or phrase that best completes each statement or answers the question. -Suppose a mathematician computed the expected winnings (to the player)of each of seven different games in a casino. What would you expect to be true for all expected winnings?
Question 14
Multiple Choice
Decide whether events A and B are overlapping or non-overlapping. -A person is selected at random from a group of doctors. Event A is that the person selected is a woman. Event B is that the person selected is a surgeon.
Question 15
Multiple Choice
Decide whether events A and B are overlapping or non-overlapping. -You roll a red die and a blue die. Event A is that you get a sum of 9. Event B is that you get a sum of 3.
Question 16
Multiple Choice
Find the indicated probability. Round your answer to 6 decimal places when necessary. -A bag contains 19 balls numbered 1 through 19. What is the probability that a randomly selected ball has an even number?
Question 17
Multiple Choice
Find the indicated probability. -In a poll of registered voters shortly before a mayoral election, people were asked which candidate they were planning to vote for. The results are shown in the table.
Candidate
Frequency
Ford
269
Anderson
342
Garcia
527
Wong
526
\begin{array} { c | c } \text { Candidate } & \text { Frequency } \\\hline \text { Ford } & 269 \\\text { Anderson } & 342 \\\text { Garcia } & 527 \\\text { Wong } & 526\end{array}
Candidate
Ford
Anderson
Garcia
Wong
Frequency
269
342
527
526
Find the empirical probability that a randomly selected registered voter is planning to vote for Anderson. Round your answer to the nearest thousandth when necessary.
Question 18
Multiple Choice
Find the indicated probability. -The following table show the results of a clinical trial for an allergy drug.
Allergy
drug
Placebo
Control
(no treatment)
Total
Improvement
145
85
41
271
No improvement
55
115
59
229
Total
200
200
100
500
\begin{array} { l | c | c | c | c } & \begin{array} { c } \text { Allergy } \\\text { drug }\end{array} & \text { Placebo } & \begin{array} { c } \text { Control } \\\text { (no treatment) }\end{array} & \text { Total } \\\hline \text { Improvement } & 145 & 85 & 41 & 271 \\\text { No improvement } & 55 & 115 & 59 & 229 \\\text { Total } & 200 & 200 & 100 & 500\end{array}
Improvement
No improvement
Total
Allergy
drug
145
55
200
Placebo
85
115
200
Control
(no treatment)
41
59
100
Total
271
229
500
What is the probability that a randomly selected person either was given the allergy drug or did not improve? Round your answer to the nearest thousandth when necessary.
Question 19
Multiple Choice
Use the at least once rule to find the indicated probability. -The probability of winning $20 in a particular lottery is 0.04. What is the probability that you will get at least one $20 winner if you buy 90 tickets?