Exam 16: Simulation

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A value for probabilistic input from a discrete probability distribution

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The word "uniform" in the term "uniform random numbers" means

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A simulation model used in situations where the state of the system at one point in time does not affect the state of the system at future points in time is called a

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Validation determines that the computer procedure is operating as it is intended to operate.

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Simulation

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Simulation is an excellent technique to use when a situation is too complicated to use standard analytical procedures.

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To use Excel to generate a normally distributed random variable,you must know the mean and standard deviation of the distribution and have a random number between 0 and 1.

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Using simulation to perform risk analysis is like playing out many what-if scenarios by randomly generating values for the probabilistic inputs.

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​Why would one want to use a general purpose programming language rather than a spreadsheet to develop a simulation?

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Arrivals to a truck repair facility have an interarrival time that is uniformly distributed between 20 and 50 minutes.Service times are normally distributed with mean 30 minutes and standard deviation 10 minutes.Develop a spreadsheet model to simulate the arrival of 100 trucks.Collect information on the time the repair facility is idle and on the average waiting time for trucks.

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The drying rate in an industrial process is dependent on many factors and varies according to the following distribution. ​ Minutes Relative Frequency 3 .14 4 .30 5 .27 6 .18 7 .11 a. Compute the mean drying time. b. Using these random numbers, simulate the drying time for 12 processes. c. What is the average drying time for the 10 processes you simulated?

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A table of uniformly distributed random numbers should be read

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For the past 50 days,daily sales of laundry detergent in a large grocery store have been recorded (to the nearest 10). ​ Units Sold Number of Times 30 8 40 12 50 15 60 10 70 5 a. Determine the relative frequency for each number of units sold. b. Suppose that the following random numbers were obtained using Excel: .12 .96 .53 .80 .95 .10 .40 .45 .77 .29 Use these random numbers to simulate 10 days of sales.

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The number of units expected to be sold is uniformly distributed between 300 and 500.If r is a random number between 0 and 1,then the proper expression for sales is

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The process of generating probabilistic inputs and computing the value of the output is called

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The degree of risk is associated with the probability or magnitude of loss.

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Greenfields is a mail order seed and plant business.The size of orders is uniformly distributed over the interval from $25 to $80.Use the following random numbers to generate the size of 10 orders. Greenfields is a mail order seed and plant business.The size of orders is uniformly distributed over the interval from $25 to $80.Use the following random numbers to generate the size of 10 orders.

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Each simulation run provides only a sample of how the real system will operate.

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​Simulation allows the user to specify certain desired results (for example,profit or service level values),and then the necessary model parameters and operating policies are determined.

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Numerical values that appear in the mathematical relationships of a model and are considered known and remain constant over all trials of a simulation are

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