Exam 7: International Parity Conditions

According to the international Fisher Effect, if an investor purchases a five-year U.S. bond that has an annual interest rate of 5% rather than a comparable British bond that has an annual interest rate of 6%, then the investor must be expecting the ________ to ________ at a rate of at least 1% per year over the next 5 years.

Empirical tests prove that PPP is an accurate predictor of future exchange rates.

The authors state that empirical tests of purchasing power parity "have, for the most part, not proved PPP to be accurate in predicting future exchange rates." The authors then state that PPP does hold up reasonably well in two situations. What are some reasons why PPP does not accurately predict future exchange rates, and under what conditions might we reasonably expect PPP to hold?

One year ago the spot rate of U.S. dollars for Canadian dollars was $1/C$1. Since that time the rate of inflation in the U.S. has been 4% greater than that in Canada. Based on the theory of Relative PPP, the current spot exchange rate of U.S. dollars for Canadian dollars should be approximately:

All that is required for a covered interest arbitrage profit is for interest rate parity to not hold.

The relationship between the percentage change in the spot exchange rate over time and the differential between comparable interest rates in different national capital markets is known as:

Assume the current U.S. dollar-yen spot rate is 90 ¥/$. Further, the current nominal 180-day rate of return in Japan is 1% and 2% in the United States. What is the approximate forward exchange rate for 180 days?

Assume the current U.S. dollar-British spot rate is 0.6993£/$. If the current nominal one-year interest rate in the U.S. is 5% and the comparable rate in Britain is 6%, what is the approximate forward exchange rate for 360 days?

The Economist publishes annually the "Big Mac Index" by which they compare the prices of the McDonald's Corporation's Big Mac hamburger around the world. The index estimates the exchange rates for currencies based on the assumption that the burgers in question are the same across the world and therefore, the price should be the same. If a Big Mac costs $2.54 in the United States and 294 yen in Japan, what is the estimated exchange rate of yen per dollar as hypothesized by the Hamburger index?

According to the International Fisher Effect, the forecast change in the spot rate between two countries is equal to:

In their approximate form, PPP, IRP, and forward rates as an unbiased predictor of the future spot rate lead to similar forecasts of the future spot rate.

The price of a Big Mac in the U.S. is $3.41 and the price in Mexico is Peso 29.0. What is the implied PPP of the Peso per dollar?

Empirical studies show that the Fisher Effect works best for short-term securities.

Jaguar has full manufacturing costs of their S-type sedan of £22,803. They sell the S-type in the UK with a 20% margin for a price of £27,363. Today these cars are available in the US for $55,000 which is the UK price multiplied by the current exchange rate of $2.01/£. Jaguar has committed to keeping the US price at $55,000 for the next six months. If the UK pound appreciates against the USD to an exchange rate of $2.15/£, and Jaguar has not hedged against currency changes, what is the amount the company will receive in pounds at the new exchange rate?

The current U.S. dollar-yen spot rate is 125¥/$. If the 90-day forward exchange rate is 127 ¥/$ then the yen is selling at a per annum ________ of ________.

If an identical product can be sold in two different markets, and no restrictions exist on the sale or transportation costs, the product's price should be the same in both markets. This is known as:

________ states that the spot exchange rate should change in an equal amount but in the opposite direction to the difference in interest rates between two countries.

Phillips NV produces DVD players and exports them to the United States. Last year the exchange rate was $1.25/euro and Plillips charged 120 euro per player in Euroland and $150 per DVD player in the United States. Currently the spot exchange rate is $1.45/euro and Phillips is charging $160 per DVD player. What is the degree of pass through by Phillips NV on their DVD players?

The theory of ________ states that the difference in the national interest rates for securities of similar risk and maturity should be equal to but opposite in sign to the forward rate discount or premium for the foreign currency, except for transaction costs.

According to the Big Mac Index, the implied PPP exchange rate is Mexican peso 8.50/$1 but the actual exchange rate is peso10.80/$1. Thus, at current exchange rates the peso appears to be ________ by ________.