Exam 7: International Parity Conditions

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Empirical tests have yielded ________ evidence about market efficiency with a general consensus that developing foreign markets are ________.

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A

If an identical product can be sold in two different markets, and no restrictions exist on the sale or transportation costs, the product's price should be the same in both markets. This is known as

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If the forward exchange rate is an unbiased predictor of future spot rates, then future spot rates will always be equal to current forward rates.

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According to the international Fisher Effect, if an investor purchases a five-year U.S. bond that has an annual interest rate of 5% rather than a comparable British bond that has an annual interest rate of 6%, then the investor must be expecting the ________ to ________ at a rate of at least 1% per year over the next 5 years.

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The assumptions for relative PPP are more rigid than the assumptions for absolute PPP.

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The Economist publishes annually the "Big Mac Index" by which they compare the prices of the McDonald's Corporation's Big Mac hamburger around the world. The index estimates the exchange rates for currencies based on the assumption that the burgers in question are the same across the world and therefore, the price should be the same. If a Big Mac costs $2.54 in the United States and 294 yen in Japan, what is the estimated exchange rate of yen per dollar as hypothesized by the Hamburger index?

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Assume a nominal interest rate on one-year U.S. Treasury Bills of 3.80% and a real rate of interest of 2.00%. Using the Fisher Effect Equation, what is the exact expected rate of inflation in the U.S. over the next year?

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The current U.S. dollar-yen spot rate is 125¥/$. If the 90-day forward exchange rate is 127 ¥/$ then the yen is selling at a per annum ________ of ________.

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Assume the current U.S. dollar-yen spot rate is 125¥/$. Further, the current nominal 180-day rate of return in Japan is 3% and 4% in the United States. What is the approximate forward exchange rate for 180 days?

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Assume the current U.S. dollar-British spot rate is 0.6993£/$. If the current nominal one-year interest rate in the U.S. is 5% and the comparable rate in Britain is 6%, what is the approximate forward exchange rate for 360 days?

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All that is required for a covered interest arbitrage profit is for interest rate parity to not hold.

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Use interest rate parity to answer this question. A U.S. investor has a choice between a risk-free one-year U.S. security with an annual return of 4%, and a comparable British security with a return of 5%. If the spot rate is $1.43/£, the forward rate is $1.44/£, and there are no transaction costs, the investor should invest in the U.S. security.

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Jaguar has full manufacturing costs of their S-type sedan of £22,803. They sell the S-type in the UK with a 20% margin for a price of £27,363. Today these cars are available in the US for $55,000 which is the UK price multiplied by the current exchange rate of $2.01/£. Jaguar has committed to keeping the US price at $55,000 for the next six months. If the UK pound appreciates against the USD to an exchange rate of $2.15/£, and Jaguar has not hedged against currency changes, what is the amount the company will receive in pounds at the new exchange rate?

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The current U.S. dollar-yen spot rate is 125¥/$. If the 90-day forward exchange rate is 127 ¥/$ then the yen is at a forward premium.

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Covered interest arbitrage moves the market ________ equilibrium because ________

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The theory of ________ states that the difference in the national interest rates for securities of similar risk and maturity should be equal to but opposite in sign to the forward rate discount or premium for the foreign currency, except for transaction costs.

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If exchange markets were not efficient, it would pay for a firm to spend resources on forecasting exchange rates.

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With covered interest arbitrage,

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Two general conclusions can be made from the empirical tests of purchasing power parity (PPP):

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________ states that the spot exchange rate should change in an equal amount but in the opposite direction to the difference in interest rates between two countries.

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