Exam 15: Market Risk

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Price volatility is the price sensitivity times the potential adverse move in yield.

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Monte-Carlo simulation is a process of creating asset returns based on actual trading days so that the probabilities of occurrence are consistent with recent historical experience.

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The mean change in the value of a portfolio of trading assets has been estimated to be 0 with a standard deviation of 20 percent. Yield changes are assumed to be normally distributed. -What is the maximum yield change expected if a 95 percent confidence (one-tailed) limit is used?

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Daily earnings at risk (DEAR) is calculated as

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The dollar value of a foreign exchange portfolio equals the FX position times the spot exchange rate.

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A reason for the use of market risk management (MRM) for the purpose of identifying potential misallocations of resources caused by prudential regulation is which of the following?

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In estimating price sensitivity, the RiskMetrics model prefers to use modified duration over the present value of cash flow changes.

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Banks in the countries that are members of the BIS must use the standardized framework to measure market risk exposures.

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Which term defines the risk related to the uncertainty of an FI's earnings on its trading portfolio caused by changes, and particularly extreme changes in market conditions?

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Market risk is the potential gain caused by an adverse movement in market conditions.

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Which of the following items is not considered to be an advantage of using back simulation over the RiskMetrics approach in developing market risk models?

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Considering the market risk of traders' portfolios for the purpose of establishing logical position limits per trader in each area of trading is a resource allocation benefit of market risk measurement.

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On December 31, 2001 Historic Bank had long positions of 200,000,000 Japanese Yen and 50,000,000 Swiss Francs. The closing exchange rates were ¥92/$ and Swf1.89/$. -What is the value of delta for the respective positions of the two currencies in dollars?

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The DEAR of a portfolio of assets is simply the weighted average of each individual assets' DEAR.

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A disadvantage of the historic or back simulation model for quantifying market risk includes

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Market risk is the uncertainty of an FI's earnings resulting from changes in market conditions such as interest rates and asset prices.

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Consider the following discrete probability distributions of payoffs for 3 securities that are held in a DI's trading portfolio (payoff amounts shown are in $millions): SECURITY PROBABILITY PAYOFF Alpha 0.50 355 0.49 150 0.01 -300 SECURITY PROBABILITY PAYOFF Beta 0.50 400 0.49 150 0.0025 -300 0.0075 -3,300 SECURITY PROBABILITY PAYOFF Gamma 0.49 400 0.49 150 0.01 -150 0.01 -2,000 -What is the expected shortfall (ES) of securities Alpha and Beta at the 99 percent confidence level, respectively (in millions)?

(Multiple Choice)
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In the BIS framework, vertical offsets are charges that reflect the modified duration and interest rate shocks for each maturity.

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The back simulation approach to estimating market risk exposure requires normally distributed asset returns, but does not require correlations of asset returns.

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Market value at risk (VAR) is defined as the daily earnings at risk (DEAR) times the number of days (N).

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