Exam 2: Introduction to Probability

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Draw a Venn diagram and label appropriately to show events A,B,their complements,intersection,and union.

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Compare these two descriptions of probability: 1)a measure of the degree of uncertainty associated with an event,and 2)a measure of your degree of belief that an event will happen.

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A food distributor carries 64 varieties of salad dressing.Appleton Markets stocks 48 of these flavors.Beacon Stores carries 32 of them.The probability that a flavor will be carried by Appleton or Beacon is 15/16.Use a Venn diagram to find the probability a flavor is carried by both Appleton and Beacon.

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Before drawing any conclusions about the relationship between two variables shown in a crosstabulation,you should

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If P(A|B)= .4 and P(B)= .6,then P(A ∩\cap B)= .667.

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A market study taken at a local sporting goods store showed that of 20 people questioned,6 owned tents,10 owned sleeping bags,8 owned camping stoves,4 owned both tents and camping stoves,and 4 owned both sleeping bags and camping stoves. Let: Event A = owns a tent Event B = owns a sleeping bag Event C = owns a camping stove and let the sample space be the 20 people questioned. a.Find P(A), P(B), P(C), P(A ∩\cap C), P(B ∩\cap C). b.Are the events A and C mutually exclusive? Explain briefly. c.Are the events B and C independent events? Explain briefly. d.If a person questioned owns a tent, what is the probability he also owns a camping stove? e.If two people questioned own a tent, a sleeping bag, and a camping stove, how many own only a camping stove? In this case is it possible for 3 people to own both a tent and a sleeping bag, but not a camping stove?

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Which of the following is not a valid representation of a probability?

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The Ambell Company uses batteries from two different manufacturers.Historically,60% of the batteries are from manufacturer 1,and 90% of these batteries last for over 40 hours.Only 75% of the batteries from manufacturer 2 last for over 40 hours.A battery in a critical tool fails at 32 hours.What is the probability it was from manufacturer 2?

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In the set of all past due accounts,let the event A mean the account is between 31 and 60 days past due and the event B mean the account is that of a new customer.The union of A and B is

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P(A|B)= 1 P(B|A)for all events A and B.

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In the set of all past due accounts,let the event A mean the account is between 31 and 60 days past due and the event B mean the account is that of a new customer.The intersection of A and B is

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Of the last 100 customers entering a computer shop,25 have purchased a computer.If the classical method for computing probability is used,the probability that the next customer will purchase a computer is

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Mini Car Motors offers its luxury car in three colors: gold,silver and blue.The vice president of advertising is interested in the order of popularity of the color choices by customers during the first month of sales. a.How many sample points are there in this experiment? b.If the event A = gold is the most popular color, list the outcome(s) in event A. c.If the event B = blue is the least popular color, list the outcome(s) in A ∩\cap B. d.List the outcome(s) in A ∩\cap Bc.

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An applicant has applied for positions at Company A and Company B.The probability of getting an offer from Company A is 0.4,and the probability of getting an offer from Company B is 0.3.Assuming that the two job offers are independent of each other,what is the probability that a.the applicant gets an offer from both companies? b.the applicant will get at least one offer? c.the applicant will not be given an offer from either company? d.Company A does not offer the applicant a job, but Company B does?

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If A and B are independent events,then P(A ∩\cap B)= P(A)P(B).

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Use a tree diagram,labeled with appropriate notation,to illustrate Bayes' theorem.

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The union of events A and B is the event containing

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The probability of an intersection of two events is computed using the

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If 50 of 250 people contacted make a donation to the city symphony,then the relative frequency method assigns a probability of .2 to the outcome of making a donation.

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A package of candy contains 12 brown,5 red,and 8 green candies.You grab three pieces from the package.Give the sample space of colors you could get.Order is not important.

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