Exam 15: Financial Planning and Forecasting

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Suppose a firm has had the historical sales figures shown as follows. What would be the forecast for next year's sales using the average approach if it was determined that years 2013 and 2014 were "stale"? Suppose a firm has had the historical sales figures shown as follows. What would be the forecast for next year's sales using the average approach if it was determined that years 2013 and 2014 were stale?

(Multiple Choice)
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Which of the following is defined as assuming that future sales will be equal to the average historical value across some relevant period?

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First order effects are defined as which of the following?

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Suppose a firm has had the historical sales figures shown as follows. What would be the forecast for next year's sales using the average approach? Suppose a firm has had the historical sales figures shown as follows. What would be the forecast for next year's sales using the average approach?

(Multiple Choice)
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Suppose a firm has had the historical sales figures shown as follows. What would be the forecast for next year's sales using the average approach if it was determined that 2013 is a "stale" year? Suppose a firm has had the historical sales figures shown as follows. What would be the forecast for next year's sales using the average approach if it was determined that 2013 is a stale year?

(Multiple Choice)
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Suppose that Gyp Sum Industries currently has the balance sheet shown as follows, and that sales for the year just ended were $20 million. The firm also has a profit margin of 22 percent, a retention ratio of 42 percent, and expects sales of $30 million next year. If all assets and current liabilities are expected to grow with sales, how much additional funds will Gyp Sum need from external sources to fund the expected growth? Suppose that Gyp Sum Industries currently has the balance sheet shown as follows, and that sales for the year just ended were $20 million. The firm also has a profit margin of 22 percent, a retention ratio of 42 percent, and expects sales of $30 million next year. If all assets and current liabilities are expected to grow with sales, how much additional funds will Gyp Sum need from external sources to fund the expected growth?

(Multiple Choice)
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Silly Putty Inc. has had sales of $12 million, $17 million, and $16 million for each of the last three years. What would be the MAPE if the actual sales were $15 million using the average approach?

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Goldilochs Inc. reported sales of $8 million and net income of $1.5 million. The firm has $10.5 million in total assets and $1 million in current liabilities. The firm currently pays out 75 percent of its net income to shareholders. Assume that all assets and current liabilities are expected to grow with sales. If Goldilochs does not want to rely on any external sources of funds, what is the most sales can grow (in percent)?

(Multiple Choice)
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Silly Putty Inc. has had sales of $10 million, $15 million, and $8 million for each of the last three years. What would be the MAPE if the actual sales were $12 million using the naïve approach?

(Multiple Choice)
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Suppose a firm has had the historical sales figures shown as follows. What would be the forecast for next year's sales using the average approach? Suppose a firm has had the historical sales figures shown as follows. What would be the forecast for next year's sales using the average approach?

(Multiple Choice)
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Which of the following defines the term deseasonalize?

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Which of the following will increase the additional funds needed from external sources?

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Goldilochs Inc. reported sales of $8 million and net income of $1.5 million. The firm has $10.5 million in total assets. The firm's chief financial officer is projecting a 25 percent increase in sales. The firm has $1.25 million in accounts payable and $1,500,000 in long-term debt (bonds). The firm currently pays out 20 percent of its net income to shareholders. Assuming that all assets and spontaneous liabilities are expected to grow with sales, how much in additional funds will Goldilochs need from external sources to fund the expected growth?

(Multiple Choice)
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Which of the following statements is correct?

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Suppose a firm has had the historical sales figures shown as follows. What would be the forecast for next year's sales using the average approach? Suppose a firm has had the historical sales figures shown as follows. What would be the forecast for next year's sales using the average approach?

(Multiple Choice)
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Suppose a firm has had the historical sales figures shown as follows. What would be the forecast for next year's sales using the average approach? Suppose a firm has had the historical sales figures shown as follows. What would be the forecast for next year's sales using the average approach?

(Multiple Choice)
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ABC Inc. has total assets of $550,000 and a debt ratio of 60 percent. If last year's sales were $950,000 and sales are expected to grow 10 percent in the future, what is ABC Inc. capital intensity ratio?

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The simplest approach to estimating a future period's sales is to assume that they will be equal to those of the latest observed period. In statistics, this is often simply referred to as which of the following?

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Suppose a firm has had the historical sales figures shown as follows. What would be the forecast for next year's sales using regression to estimate a trend? Suppose a firm has had the historical sales figures shown as follows. What would be the forecast for next year's sales using regression to estimate a trend?

(Multiple Choice)
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Which of the following can be computed as: necessary increase in assets minus spontaneous increase in liabilities minus projected increase in retained earnings?

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