Exam 4: The Alchemy of Stock Market Performance

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The expectations treadmill is the dynamic behind the adage that a good company and a good investment may not be the same.

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True

What is the zero-growth return?

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A

Which of the following are potential reasons why TRS over short periods of time may not reflect the actual performance of a company and its management? I.A well-performing company may not deliver a high TRS if the expectations include knowledge of the performance. II.When TRS is analyzed in its traditional way,it does not show the degree to which improvements in operations produced or increased the TRS. III.Outside factors such as changing interest rates can affect TRS and be unrelated to the firm's operations. IV.TRS is difficult to calculate for short periods of time.

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D

List and describe the four-part decomposition of TRS that gives a clearer insight into how much of the measure derives from changes in operational performance.

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What is the TRS from performance?

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What is the TRS?

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Which of the following are frequently observed detrimental activities of managers on the "expectations treadmill"? I.Increasing leverage. II.Decreasing the weighted average cost of capital (WACC). III.Pursuing risky major acquisitions. IV.Pursuing unrealistic earnings growth.?

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Suppose that on January 1, 2014, you bought 100 shares of M.Co for $100 per share with the expectation of receiving a perpetual dividend of $10 per share. On January 1, 2015, M.Co announces that it will increase its annual dividend to $20 per share. Upon announcement, the stock price rises to $200. -If an investor bought 100 shares of M.Co on January 1,2015,what will be the expected return?

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Suppose that on January 1, 2014, you bought 100 shares of M.Co for $100 per share with the expectation of receiving a perpetual dividend of $10 per share. On January 1, 2015, M.Co announces that it will increase its annual dividend to $20 per share. Upon announcement, the stock price rises to $200. -What was the expected return on the investment as on January 1,2014?

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The expectations treadmill refers to the fact that recent growth builds expectations of future growth.

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Use the following financials for the next question. \ mi llion Base Year 1 year L ater Invested capital \ 100 \ 104 Earnings 8 9 P/E 12 12.6 Dividends 4 4.1 Equity Value 96 113.4 -The enhanced TRS from performance is closest to:

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Company Y can outperform Company Z on all key value drivers (e.g. ,growth and ROIC )but still deliver lower total returns to shareholders (TRS).

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The traditional approach to analyzing TRS treats the key components as if they were independent of each other,and this does not link TRS to the true underlying sources of value creation.

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Use the following financials to answer the next question. \ mi llion Base Year 1 year Later Invested capital \5 0 \ 54 Earnings 5.0 5.1 P/E 10.0 10.4 Dividends 2.5 2.55 Equity Value 96 113.4 -Total returns to shareholders is closest to:

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Given that TRS is not a clear measure of management performance,which of the following metrics should be used to gauge a company's performance?

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The expectations treadmill can be detrimental to total returns to shareholders (TRS )if the managers grow the company without keeping the ROIC above the cost of capital or if they make unnecessary acquisitions that do not create value.

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Suppose that on January 1, 2014, you bought 100 shares of M.Co for $100 per share with the expectation of receiving a perpetual dividend of $10 per share. On January 1, 2015, M.Co announces that it will increase its annual dividend to $20 per share. Upon announcement, the stock price rises to $200. -If you sold the shares on January 1,2015,what would be your return?

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Which of the following represents the minimum horizon where the focus of managers on improving total returns to shareholders (TRS )to win performance bonuses will align their interests and the interests of their shareholders?

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An effective compensation system of a company should focus on period to period changes in TRS performance rather than TRS relative to peers in the industry.

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Which of the following is NOT one of the three components in the traditional approach's three-component breakdown of total returns to shareholders??

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