Exam 5: Probability

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Suppose that 3% of all TVs made by some company in 2012 are defective. If 2 of these TVs are randomly selected what is the probability that both are defective?

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Suppose you toss a fair coin three times in a row and obtain tails, tails, and tails. What it the probability that the fourth toss will give heads?

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Given two events, A and B, if the probability of either A or B occurring is 0.6, then the probability of neither A nor B occurring is -0.6.

(True/False)
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Which of the following is a legitimate probability value?

(Multiple Choice)
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Given two events, A and B, if the probability of A is 0.7, the probability of B is 0.3, and the joint probability of A and B is 0.21, then the two events are independent.

(True/False)
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Let F be the event that a student is enrolled in a finance course, and let S be the event that a student is enrolled in a statistics course. It is known that 40% of all students are enrolled in an finance course and 35% of all students are enrolled in statistics. Included in these numbers are 15% who are enrolled in both statistics and finance. Find P(S).

(Multiple Choice)
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An event that  not \textbf{ not } be broken down into other events is called a certainty outcome.

(True/False)
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A market research firm is investigating the appeal of three package designs. The table below gives information obtained through a sample of 200 consumers. The three package designs are labelled A, B, and C. The consumers are classified according to age and package design preference. A market research firm is investigating the appeal of three package designs. The table below gives information obtained through a sample of 200 consumers. The three package designs are labelled A, B, and C. The consumers are classified according to age and package design preference.   If one of these consumers is randomly selected and prefers design B, what is the probability that the person is 25 or older? If one of these consumers is randomly selected and prefers design B, what is the probability that the person is 25 or older?

(Multiple Choice)
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Suppose that your company is sending invitations to its 50 most important clients for an end-of-the-year event where a new product will be exhibited. These are printed invitation cards mailed through USPS, and each card is personalized with the name of the corresponding client. You realize that the cards have been accidentally shuffled before placing them in the envelopes. What is the probability that only one card is in the wrong envelope?

(Multiple Choice)
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Your company provides services to three different industries: automotive, construction, and financial services. These services can be either on a yearly or on a monthly contract. The cross-tabulation table below summarizes this information: Your company provides services to three different industries: automotive, construction, and financial services. These services can be either on a yearly or on a monthly contract. The cross-tabulation table below summarizes this information:   Suppose you know that a given client is a construction company and you are interested in the likelihood that this client is on a yearly contract. This is an example of ___. Suppose you know that a given client is a construction company and you are interested in the likelihood that this client is on a yearly contract. This is an example of ___.

(Multiple Choice)
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Abel Alonzo, Director of Human Resources, is exploring employee absenteeism at the Plano Power Plant. Ten percent of all plant employees work in the finishing department; 20% of all plant employees are absent excessively; and 7% of all plant employees work in the finishing department and are absent excessively. A plant employee is selected randomly; F is the event "works in the finishing department;" and A is the event "is absent excessively." P(F|A) = ___.

(Multiple Choice)
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Let F be the event that a student is enrolled in a finance course, and let S be the event that a student is enrolled in a statistics course. It is known that 40% of all students are enrolled in a finance course and 35% of all students are enrolled in statistics. Included in these numbers are 15% who are enrolled in both statistics and finance. If one student is selected at random and he is enrolled in statistics, what is the probability that he is enrolled in finance?

(Short Answer)
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If the occurrence of one event does  not \textbf{ not } affect the occurrence of another event, then the two events are mutually exclusive.

(True/False)
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A recently published study shows that 50% of Americans adults take multivitamins regularly. Another recent study showed that 20.6% of American adults work out regularly. Suppose that these two variables are independent. The probability that a randomly selected American adult takes multivitamins regularly and works out regularly is ___.

(Multiple Choice)
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Given P(A) = 0.45, P(B) = 0.30, P(A and B) = 0.05. Which of the following is true?

(Multiple Choice)
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Given two events A and B each with a non-zero probability, if the conditional probability of A given B is zero, it implies that the events A and B are mutually exclusive.

(True/False)
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If two events are mutually exclusive, then their joint probability is always zero.

(True/False)
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Belinda Bose is reviewing a newly proposed advertising campaign. Based on her 15-years' experience, she believes the campaign has a 75% chance of significantly increasing brand name recognition of the product. This is an example of assigning probabilities using the ___ method.

(Multiple Choice)
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Let F be the event that a student is enrolled in a finance course, and let S be the event that a student is enrolled in a statistics course. It is known that 40% of all students are enrolled in a finance course and 35% of all students are enrolled in statistics. Included in these numbers are 15% who are enrolled in both statistics and finance. Find the probability that a student is in finance and is also in statistics.

(Multiple Choice)
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Which of the following is true regarding probability? I: Probability is used by most industries. II: By applying rules and laws one can conduct inferential process under uncertainty.

(Multiple Choice)
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