Exam 13: Industry Analysis

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An increase in any of the following will cause the expected dividend growth rate to increase for an industry except

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Which of the following statements is false?

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Which of the following is not considered a structural influence on the economy and industry?

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Input-output analysis would be useful to indicate the long run relationship between industries.

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Exhibit 13.4 Use the Information Below for the Following Problem(S) The Furniture Manufacturing Industry had free cash flow to equity (FCFE) of $63 for the most recent year ending reported yesterday. The industry is in the mature stage and anticipates a growth rate of 4% indefinitely. The required rate of return is 11% for this industry. -Refer to Exhibit 13.4.Suppose unexpected inflation suddenly increases by 2 percent and there are no other changes in expectations.What will be the new intrinsic value of the Furniture Manufacturing Industry today?

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In analyzing risk levels among industries,studies have found that

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Which of the following is not characteristic of the "decline" phase of the industry life cycle?

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Exhibit 13.2 Use the Information Below for the Following Problem(S) At the end of the year 2004 the Office Equipment Industry had free cash flow to equity (FCFE) of $2.50 per share. The following annual growth rates in FCFE are projected: Year Grapth Rata 2005 10\% 2006 15\% 2007 20\% 2008 25\% 2009 20\% 2010 15\% 2011 10\% 2012 7\% From year 2013 onward growth in FCFE is expected to remain constant at 5% per year. The industry has a beta of 0.90 and the current industry price is $105. Currently the yield on 10-year Treasury notes is 5% and the equity risk premium is 4% -Refer to Exhibit 13.2.Calculate the present value now (Year 2004)of FCFE during the period of increasing growth (that is for years 2005 to 2008).

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Exhibit 13.2 Use the Information Below for the Following Problem(S) At the end of the year 2004 the Office Equipment Industry had free cash flow to equity (FCFE) of $2.50 per share. The following annual growth rates in FCFE are projected: Year Grapth Rata 2005 10\% 2006 15\% 2007 20\% 2008 25\% 2009 20\% 2010 15\% 2011 10\% 2012 7\% From year 2013 onward growth in FCFE is expected to remain constant at 5% per year. The industry has a beta of 0.90 and the current industry price is $105. Currently the yield on 10-year Treasury notes is 5% and the equity risk premium is 4% -Refer to Exhibit 13.2.Calculate the present value now (Year 2004)of FCFE during the period of declining growth (that is for years 2009 to 2012).

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Which of the following statements about industry analysis is true?

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Analysts should identify and monitor

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Which of the following is not a stage in the industrial life cycle?

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The relationship between an economic series such as disposable personal income and retail sales is usually stronger in an industry that has become more specialized.

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The capital goods industry typically outperforms other sectors during a recession.

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Exhibit 13.1 Use the Information Below for the Following Problem(S) Assume that you are an analyst for the U.S. Autoparts Industry. Consider the following information that you propose to use to obtain an estimate of year 2002 EPS for the U.S. Autoparts Industry: Personal consumption expenditures Personal consumption expenditures growth Industry Sales per share Industry Operating profit margin Industry Depreciation/Fixed Assets Industry Fixed asset turnover Interest rate Industry Total asset turnover Industry Debt/Total assets Industry Tax rate \ Year 2003 \6 ,800 Billion \ 525 \ \ Estimated Year 2004 1.5\% 15\% 8.25\% 3 6\% 1.2 45\% 36\% \ In addition a regression analysis indicates the following relationship between growth in industry sales per share and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) growth is %D Sales per share = 0.02 + 1.5(%DPCE) -Refer to Exhibit 13.1.Calculate the per share EBIT for the year 2004.

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Exhibit 13.3 Use the Information Below for the Following Problem(S) The Home Appliance Industry had free cash flow to equity (FCFE) of $87 for the most recent year ending reported yesterday. The industry anticipates a growth rate of 8% for the next three years due to favorable economic conditions. However, the growth rate is expected to decline to 4% after three years and remain at that level indefinitely. The required rate of return is 12% for this industry. -Refer to Exhibit 13.3.Calculate the FCFE at the end of the 8% growth period three years from now.

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The micro approach to estimating the industry multiple would entail examining specific variables such as: dividend payout ratios,required rates of return,and expected growth rates of dividends and earnings.

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Towards the end of the recession which industry is most likely to excel?

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Exhibit 13.1 Use the Information Below for the Following Problem(S) Assume that you are an analyst for the U.S. Autoparts Industry. Consider the following information that you propose to use to obtain an estimate of year 2002 EPS for the U.S. Autoparts Industry: Personal consumption expenditures Personal consumption expenditures growth Industry Sales per share Industry Operating profit margin Industry Depreciation/Fixed Assets Industry Fixed asset turnover Interest rate Industry Total asset turnover Industry Debt/Total assets Industry Tax rate \ Year 2003 \6 ,800 Billion \ 525 \ \ Estimated Year 2004 1.5\% 15\% 8.25\% 3 6\% 1.2 45\% 36\% \ In addition a regression analysis indicates the following relationship between growth in industry sales per share and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) growth is %D Sales per share = 0.02 + 1.5(%DPCE) -Refer to Exhibit 13.1.Calculate the industry year 2004 EBITDA per share.

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Which of the following is not considered a basic competitive force?

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